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Research progress of infectious disease dynamics models
XUE Mingjin, HUANG Zhaowei, HU Yudi, DU Jinlin, HUANG Zhigang
Preventive Medicine    2022, 34 (1): 53-57.   DOI: 10.19485/j.cnki.issn2096-5087.2022.01.011
Abstract   PDF (830KB)  
The management of emerging infectious diseases has always been given a high priority in public health. Identification of the epidemiological characteristics and transmission patterns of emerging infectious diseases is of great significance to contain the disease transmission and reduce the damages to public health and socioeconomic developments. Currently, infectious disease dynamics models are mainly established based on infectious disease surveillance data to predict the epidemiological patterns and trends of emerging infectious diseases; however, many model-based predictions fail to achieve the expected results due to the presence of multiple uncertain factors during the integrated management of infectious diseases. This review describes the basic principles and variables of common infectious disease dynamics models, including the susceptible-infected-recovered ( SIR ) model, susceptible-infected-removed-susceptible ( SIRS ) model, susceptible-exposed-infected-removed ( SEIR ) model and improved SEIR model, compares the advantages and disadvantages of these models, and summarizes the advances of the infectious disease dynamics models in the prediction of trends in incidence of emerging infectious diseases, so as to provide insights into the effective application of infectious disease dynamics models in the management of infectious diseases.
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Research progress of adult eating behavior scales
WANG Yuan, ZHANG Qian, HAO Jie, SHANG Lei, XU Junrong
Preventive Medicine    2020, 32 (12): 1226-1230.   DOI: 10.19485/j.cnki.issn2096-5087.2020.12.009
Abstract   PDF (1036KB)  
Eating behaviors are closely related to obesity and nutrition-related diseases. Many foreign countries have developed their own scales for adult eating behaviors assessment according to dietary habits and cultures, and the system is well improved; however, the research on adult eating behavior assessment in China is still in the initial stage, which focuses on the revision and application of foreign scales with few self-developed ones. This paper mainly discusses the development and application of adult eating behavior scales at home and abroad, and provides reference for the selection and development of adult eating behavior assessment tools.
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Application of weighted quantile and regression model and implementation of R software
LI Tingjun, HUANG Junli, CHEN Haijian, MO Chunbao
Preventive Medicine    2023, 35 (3): 275-276.   DOI: 10.19485/j.cnki.issn2096-5087.2023.03.021
Abstract   PDF (829KB)  
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Sample size estimate for cross-sectional study
ZHENG Weijun, HE Fan
Preventive Medicine    2020, 32 (6): 647-648.   DOI: 10.19485/j.cnki.issn2096-5087.2020.06.028
Abstract   PDF (260KB)  
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Research progress on health hazards of microplastics
GAO Xiangrong, HOU Leying, SHENG Jinghao
Preventive Medicine    2020, 32 (8): 800-804.   DOI: 10.19485/j.cnki.issn2096-5087.2020.08.010
Abstract   PDF (852KB)  
Microplastics refer to plastic fibers, particles or films less than 5 millimeters, as a new type of environmental pollutants, whose pollution situation and toxic effects have attracted extensive attention. Microplastics are widely distributed in the atmosphere, water and soil, and are enriched in organism through gastrointestinal tract ingestion, respiratory tract inhalation and skin contact. Microplastics can induce cytotoxicity, damage tissues and organs, and cause compound health hazards. In this paper, we systematically reviewed the exposure pathways, health hazards and mechanisms of microplastics in organisms, in order to provide reference for the studies into the environmental health hazards of microplastics.
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Epidemiological characteristics of sexually transmitted diseases in Zhejiang Province from 2018 to 2022
WANG Yanmin, KONG Wenming, SHEN Yunliang, WU Limei, FEI Lijuan, DU Na, ZHANG Hongtao
Preventive Medicine    2023, 35 (12): 1071-1074, 1079.   DOI: 10.19485/j.cnki.issn2096-5087.2023.12.013
Abstract   PDF (802KB)  
Objective To investigate the epidemiological characteristics of sexually transmitted diseases (STDs) in Zhejiang Province from 2018 to 2022, so as to provide insights into improving STDs prevention and control strategies. Methods Data of syphilis, gonorrhea, condyloma acuminatum, genital herpes and genital Chlamydia trachomatis infections reported in Zhejiang Province from 2018 to 2022 were collected from the Infectious Disease Surveillance System of Chinese Disease Prevention and Control Information System. The temporal, spatial and population distribution of STDs were analyzed, and the trends in incidence of STDs were evaluated using annual percent change (APC). Results A total of 386 770 STDs cases were reported in Zhejiang Province from 2018 to 2022, with mean annual reported incidence of 127.80/105. The mean annual reported incidence from high to low was syphilis (44.11/105), genital Chlamydia trachomatis infections (40.20/105), gonorrhea (24.92/105), condyloma acuminatum (13.32/105), and genital herpes (5.34/105). The incidence of STDs appeared a tendency towards a decline from 2018 to 2022 (APC=-9.332%, P<0.05), with an average annual growth rate of -9.41%. Syphilis (APC=-11.536%, P<0.05), condyloma acuminatum (APC=-7.509%, P<0.05), and genital Chlamydia trachomatis infections (APC=-9.009%, P<0.05) showed a appeared a tendency towards a decline. The top three highest reported incidence were reported in Hangzhou City (185.98/105), Taizhou City (133.85/105) and Lishui City (122.73/105), respectively. The mean annual reported incidence of females was higher than that of males (140.60/105 vs. 117.83/105; P<0.05). Most STDs cases were at ages of 20 to 49 years (265 314 cases, 68.60%). Farmers (118 096 cases, 30.53%), household and unemployed personnel (85 924 cases, 22.22%) were the predominant occupation. Conclusions The incidence of STDs appeared a tendency towards a decline in Zhejiang Province from 2018 to 2022, with regional differences in incidence. People at ages of 20 to 49 years, farmers, household and unemployed personnel are high-risk populations for STDs.
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Characteristics of emergency injury incidents in sentinel hospitals of Fuyang District
ZHAO Chong, SHI Wenwen
Preventive Medicine    2023, 35 (2): 155-157,161.   DOI: 10.19485/j.cnki.issn2096-5087.2023.02.016
Abstract   PDF (881KB)  
Objective To investigate the epidemiological characteristics of injury cases admitted to department of emergency in sentinel hospitals in Fuyang District, Hangzhou City from 2015 to 2020, so as to provide insights into injury prevention and intervention in rural areas. Methods Data of injury cases were collected from the department of emergency of two sentinel hospitals in Fuyang District from 2015 to 2020, and the incidence of injury was standardized by the data from the China's seventh national population census in Fuyang District. The demographics, causes, severity and outcomes of injury were descriptively analyzed. Results Totally 84 360 injury cases were recorded in the department of emergency of two sentinel hospitals in Fuyang District from 2015 to 2020, and the annual average standardized incidence of injury was 15.85%. The injury cases included 48 330 men (57.29%) and 36 030 women (42.71%), and there were 10 653 cases at ages of <19 years (12.63%), 25 398 cases at ages of 19 to <46 years (30.11%), 39 951 cases at ages of 46 to <71 years (47.36%), and 8 359 cases at ages of 71 years and older (9.91%). Taking a private car (motor vehicles and non-motor vehicles) was the predominant way to seek medical care (75 246 cases, 89.20%). Blunt force injury and puncture wound/incision wound (23 668 cases, 28.06%), and fall injury (22 855 cases, 27.09%) were predominant causes of injury, and there were 45 961 cases with mild injury (54.48%), 28 043 cases with moderate injury (33.24%), and 356 cases with severe injury (0.42%). Returning home after hospital treatments was the predominant outcome of injury (74 401 cases, 88.19%). Mild injury was predominant among patients at ages of <19 years (81.48%), with a high rate of transfer to other hospitals (2.43%), and moderate to severe injury was predominant among patients at ages of 71 years and older (43.08% and 0.77%), with a high rate of hospital stay (18.71%) and a high mortality rate (0.14%). Conclusions Mild injury was predominant among patients admitted to the department of emergency of two sentinel hospitals in Fuyang District from 2015 to 2020, and blunt force injury, puncture wound/incision wound and fall injury were predominant causes of injury. There were age-specific epidemiological characteristics of injury cases.
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Relationship between homocysteine and sarcopenia in the elderly population
DU Yutian, ZHANG Li, LIAO Xinyi, ZHANG Suqiong, TANG Jing, CHENG Daomei
Preventive Medicine    2024, 36 (3): 185-188.   DOI: 10.19485/j.cnki.issn2096-5087.2024.03.001
Abstract   PDF (786KB)  
Objective To investigate the relationship between total homocysteine (tHcy) levels and sarcopenia among the elderly, so as to provide insights into the prevention and treatment of sarcopenia. Methods The elderly aged 65 years and older who participated in the physical examination of Shibantan Township Health Center in Xindu District, Chengdu City from April to June 2021 was selected as the study subjects. The elderly with sarcopenia (diagnosed according to the diagnostic criteria of the Asian Sarcopenia Working Group in 2019) and non-sarcopenia were matched 1︰1 by gender and age (±2 years). Demographic information, skeletal muscle mass, skeletal muscle strength and tHcy were collected through questionnaire surveys, physical examination and laboratory testing. Multivariable conditional logistic regression model was used to explore the relationship between tHcy and sarcopenia. Results A total of 320 individuals, including 160 sarcopenia patients and 160 non-sarcopenia individuals, were investigated. There were 138 males (43.13%) and 182 females (56.87%), with a median age of 71.00 (interquartile range, 6.00) years. There were 57 drinkers (17.81%), 78 smokers (24.37%), 173 cases of hypertension (54.06%) and 124 cases of hyperhomocysteinemia (38.80%). Multivariable conditional logistic regression analysis showed that elevated tHcy was associated with an increased risk of sarcopenia (OR=1.107, 95%CI: 1.024-1.197), after adjusting for smoking, alcohol consumption, hypertension, waist circumference, neck circumference, body mass index, platelet count and high density lipoprotein cholesterol. Conclusion Elevated tHcy is associated with sarcopenia, and intervention should be carried out for the elderly with higher tHcy.
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Progress in epidemiology research of dietary pattern and cardiovascularand cerebrovascular diseases
YAN Mengyao, WANG Hao, YU Min
Preventive Medicine    2020, 32 (10): 1013-1017.   DOI: 10.19485/j.cnki.issn2096-5087.2020.10.010
Abstract   PDF (890KB)  
Diet is one of the controllable risk factors for cardiovascular and cerebrovascular diseases. A lot of epidemiological research suggest that Mediterranean diet, traditional Japanese diet, healthy Nordic diet, DASH diet, portfolio dietary pattern and vegetarian dietary pattern may reduce the mortality and morbidity of cardiovascular and cerebrovascular diseases, prevent hypertension, hyperlipidemia and other risk factors as well. This paper summarizes the latest epidemiological research progress of these dietary patterns and cardiovascular and cerebrovascular diseases, aiming to provide reference for the prevention and control.
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Association between sleep and obesity in adults
YANG Yang, HE Tianjing, ZHU Shuzhen, ZHANG Lan, HUANG Xibao
Preventive Medicine    2023, 35 (2): 116-120.   DOI: 10.19485/j.cnki.issn2096-5087.2023.02.006
Abstract   PDF (867KB)  
Objective To examine the associations of sleep with overweight/obesity and central obesity in adults, so as to provide insights into improving sleep quality and preventing obesity in adults. Methods Demographics, height, body weight, waist circumstance and sleep status were collected from the Hubei Provincial Surveillance Program for Adult Chronic Diseases and Their Risk Factors in 2020. Subjects' sleep condiction, overweight/obesity and central obesity were descriptively analyzed. The associations of sleep with overweight/obesity and central obesity were examined using a multivariable logistic regression model. Results A total of 17 789 participants were recruited, with an average age of (56.21±13.05) years, 61.50% women, and mean duration of (7.18±1.56) h/d. There were 7 019 participants with snoring/asphyxia/suffocation (39.46%), 6 108 participants with sleep difficulty (34.34%), 8 064 participants with night waking at least twice (45.33%), 268 participants taking hypnotics (1.51%), and 6 267 participants with early morning awakening and difficulty in sleep again (35.23%), and there were 8 960 participants with overweight/obesity (50.37%) and 6 148 participants with central obesity (34.56%). Multivariable logistic regression analysis showed that sleep duration of <7 h/d (OR=1.081, 95%CI: 1.007-1.159), snoring/asphyxia/suffocation (OR=2.367, 95%CI: 2.222-2.521), and night waking at least twice (OR=1.106, 95%CI: 1.028-1.191) significantly correlated with overweight/obesity, and sleep duration of >8 h/d (OR=0.834, 95%CI: 0.761-0.913), snoring/asphyxia/suffocation (OR=2.153, 95%CI: 2.019-2.297), and night waking at least twice (OR=1.193, 95%CI: 1.105-1.288) were statistically associated with central obesity. Conclusion Sleep duration, snoring/asphyxia/suffocation and night waking are associated with overweight/obesity and central obesity.
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