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| Trend in incidence and change in age at onset of lung cancer in Wujiang District from 2012 to 2021 |
| ZHANG Rongyan1, GU Siyi1, YANG Mei1, SHEN Jianxin1, CUI Junpeng2, LU Yan2
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1. Wujiang District Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Suzhou, Jiangsu 215200, China;
2. Suzhou Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Suzhou, Jiangsu 215000, China |
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Abstract Objective To investigate the trend in incidence and change in age at onset of lung cancer in in Wujiang District, Suzhou City, Jiangsu Province from 2012 to 2021, so as to provide a basis for strengthening targeted prevention and control of lung cancer. Methods Data of lung cancer incidence from 2012 to 2021 were collected through the Wujiang District Tumor Follow-up Registration Information System. The crude incidence, truncated incidence for 35 to 64 years, and cumulative incidence for 0 to 74 years were calculated. Chinese population-standardized incidence, Chinese population-standardized average age at onset, and Chinese population-standardized incidence proportion were calculated using the age structure of the standard population from the Fifth National Population Census in 2000. The trend in incidence of lung cancer from 2012 to 2021 was evaluated using average annual percent change (AAPC). The trend in the Chinese population-standardized average age at onset of lung cancer from 2012 to 2021 was evaluated using a linear regression model. Results From 2012 to 2021, the crude incidence, the Chinese population-standardized incidence and truncated incidence for 35 to 64 years of lung cancer in Wujiang District were 84.57/105, 37.28/105 and 52.10/105, respectively, all showing upward trends (AAPC=2.489%, 2.034% and 4.654%, all P<0.05). The cumulative incidence for 0 to 74 years was 4.48%, showing no significant trend (P>0.05). The Chinese population-standardized incidence was higher in males than in females (48.16/105 vs. 26.81/105). The Chinese population-standardized incidence of lung cancer in females showed an upward trend (AAPC=8.174%, P<0.05), while the trend in males was not statistically significant (P>0.05). The crude incidence of lung cancer showed upward trends in the total population and females aged 0-<45 years (AAPC=18.287% and 25.343%, both P<0.05) and those aged 45-<55 age group (AAPC=8.003% and 17.629%, both P<0.05). The Chinese population-standardized average age at onset of lung cancer in total population and females decreased from 67.58 and 65.48 years in 2012 to 60.15 and 54.88 years in 2021, with an average annual reduction of 0.611 and 0.964 years, respectively (both P<0.05). The Chinese population-standardized incidence proportion showed upward trends for the total population and females under 65 years (AAPC=3.879% and 4.639%, both P<0.05). No statistically significant trends were observed in the Chinese population-standardized average age at onset or incidence proportion in males (both P>0.05). Conclusions From 2012 to 2021, the incidence of lung cancer in Wujiang District showed an increasing trend and a trend toward younger onset age. Young and middle-aged females had emerged as a key target population for lung cancer prevention and control.
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Received: 04 September 2025
Revised: 19 September 2025
Published: 23 October 2025
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