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| Trend in disease burden of diabetes mellitus among population aged 15 to 39 years in China from 1990 to 2021 |
| LIU Yuxin, LIANG Lijun
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| School of Management, Tianjin University of Traditional Chinese Medicine, Tianjin 301617, China |
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Abstract Objective To investigate the trend in disease burden of diabetes mellitus among population aged 15 to 39 years in China from 1990 to 2021. Methods Data on the incidence, prevalence, mortality, and disability-adjusted life year (DALY) rate of diabetes mellitus among population aged 15 to 39 years in China from 1990 to 2021 were collected from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2021 database. The disease burden of diabetes mellitus was analyzed by gender and age. The trend in disease burden among population aged 15 to 39 years was analyzed by average annual percent change (AAPC). Results The incidence, prevalence and DALY rate of diabetes mellitus increased from 142.63/105, 1 826.41/105, and 138.04/105 in 1990 to 287.68/105, 5 245.93/105, and 316.82/105 in 2021, respectively, showing significant upward trends (AAPC=2.313%, 3.502% and 2.734%, all P<0.05). In contrast, the mortality decreased from 0.67/105 in 1990 to 0.57/105 in 2021, demonstrating a significant downward trend (AAPC=-0.518%, P<0.05). From 1990 to 2021, the incidences (AAPC=2.404% and 2.160%), prevalences (AAPC=3.576% and 3.389%), and DALY rates (AAPC=2.936% and 2.454%) of diabetes mellitus among males and females showed upward trends (all P<0.05). The mortality among females demonstrated a downward trend (AAPC=-1.809%, P<0.05), while the trend among males was not statistically significant (P>0.05). In 2021, the age group of 20 to <25 years had a relatively high incidence of diabetes mellitus, at 525.57/105. From 1990 to 2021, the incidences (AAPC=4.064%, 3.828%, 1.757%, 1.026% and 0.810%), prevalences (AAPC=2.374%, 3.625%, 3.371%, 2.985% and 2.647%), and DALY rates (AAPC=1.045%, 2.723%, 2.787%, 2.289% and 1.876%) of diabetes mellitus in age groups of 15 to <20 years, 20 to <25 years, 25 to <30 years, 30 to <35 years, and 35 to 39 years showed upward trends (all P<0.05). Conversely, the mortality (AAPC=-2.480%, -1.164%, -0.724%, -0.979% and -1.139%) in these age groups demonstrated downward trends (all P<0.05). Conclusion The overall disease burden of diabetes mellitus among population aged 15 to 39 years in China showed an upward trend, with males and the age group of 20 to <25 years being key target populations for diabetes mellitus prevention and control.
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Received: 06 August 2025
Revised: 29 September 2025
Published: 25 December 2025
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