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The relationship between air pollutants and mortality in Huairou District |
CAO Yang*, YANG Limei, KENG Bin, LIU Yu
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*Institute of Information and Statistics, Huairou Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Beijing 101400, China |
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Abstract Objective To evaluate the relationship between air pollutants and mortality of residents in Huairou District, Beijing, providing a basis for the formulation of air pollution control measures. Methods The data of daily deaths, meteorological factors and air pollutants in Huairou District from 2014 to 2018 were collected from Beijing Disease Prevention Monitoring Information Integration and Analysis System, Huairou Meteorological Bureau and Environmental Monitoring Station. The generalized additive models were used to analyze the relationship between the average daily concentration of air pollutants and the daily deaths. Results The medians of daily average concentrations of SO2, NO2, CO, O3, PM10 and PM2.5 were 5.00 μg/m3, 24.00 μg/m3, 0.71 mg/m3, 77.27 μg/m3, 64.25 μg/m3 and 44.13 μg/m3, respectively. Except for O3, the daily average concentrations of SO2, NO2, CO, PM10 and PM2.5 showed decreasing trends from 2014 to 2018. An increase of 10 μg/m3 of NO2 resulted in an elevation of 1.69% ( 95%CI: 0.31%-3.08% ) , 3.31% ( 95%CI: 1.24%-5.42% ) and 3.31% ( 95%CI: 0.51%-6.19% ) for non-accidental death in the whole population, females and people under 65 years old, respectively, with a delay of 2 days (lag2). For every 10 μg/m3 increase in the daily average concentrations of CO and PM2.5, the risk of non-accidental death among people under 65 years old at lag2 increased by 0.08% ( 95%CI: 0.01%-0.14% ) and 0.88% ( 95%CI: 0.12%-1.64% ) , respectively. For every 10 μg/m3 increase in daily average concentration of O3, there was 0.69% ( 95%CI: 0.02%-1.36% ) increase in daily male non-accidental death risk at lag4. The results of the multi-pollutant model showed that after adjusting the effects of the other two air pollutants, NO2, CO and PM2.5 had no statistically significant effects on the daily non-accidental deaths of people under 65 years old at lag2 ( P>0.05 ) . Conclusion The ambient NO2, CO, O3 and PM2.5 pollution increase daily non-accidental deaths, which shows a lag effect.
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Received: 15 September 2020
Revised: 01 December 2020
Published: 16 March 2021
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