Please wait a minute...
文章检索
预防医学  2024, Vol. 36 Issue (12): 1017-1021    DOI: 10.19485/j.cnki.issn2096-5087.2024.12.002
  论著 本期目录 | 过刊浏览 | 高级检索 |
基于大气污染物与寿命损失年的金华市空气质量健康指数构建研究
何晓庆1, 罗进斌1, 陈强1, 许丹丹2
1.金华市疾病预防控制中心环境与职业卫生科,浙江 金华 321002;
2.浙江省疾病预防控制中心,浙江 杭州 310051
Construction of air quality health index in Jinhua City based on air pollutants and years of life lost
HE Xiaoqing1, LUO Jinbin1, CHEN Qiang1, XU Dandan2
1. Department of Environmental and Occupational Health, Jinhua Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Jinhua, Zhejiang 321002, China;
2. Zhejiang Provincial Center for Disease Control and Prevention,Hangzhou, Zhejiang 310051, China
全文: PDF(1084 KB)  
输出: BibTeX | EndNote (RIS)      
摘要 目的 基于大气污染物与人群寿命损失年(YLL)的暴露-反应关系构建浙江省金华市空气质量健康指数(AQHI),评价空气质量健康风险。方法 通过金华市环境监测中心和金华市气象局收集2014—2021年金华市金东区和婺城区的大气污染物和气象资料,通过浙江省慢性病监测信息管理系统收集同期居民非意外死亡资料;采用广义相加模型(GAM)分析大气污染物与YLL的暴露-反应关系,筛选主要污染物计算AQHI;采用GAM分析AQHI与YLL的暴露-反应关系。结果 单污染物模型结果显示,PM2.5在滞后1 d对YLL影响最大,SO2在当日影响最大。双污染物模型结果显示,PM2.5在滞后1 d分别纳入其他污染物后,对YLL的影响有统计学意义;SO2在当日纳入NO2后,对YLL的影响有统计学意义(均P<0.05)。2014—2021年O3日均质量浓度超标率较高,为42.27%。根据单污染物和双污染物模型分析结果、大气污染物超标情况和相关文献,选择PM2.5、SO2、NO2和O3为主要污染物计算AQHI。2014—2021年金华市AQHI MQR)为1.40(1.13),按照AQHI分级标准,94.55%的时间处于低风险,4.93%的时间处于中风险。AQHI每升高1个QR,对全人群、男性、女性、<65岁和≥65岁人群YLL的影响均有统计学意义,YLL分别增加6.21、3.26、6.46、4.24和10.57人年。结论 2014—2021年金华市大部分时间空气质量健康风险为低风险,AQHI升高与人群YLL风险增加有关。
服务
把本文推荐给朋友
加入引用管理器
E-mail Alert
RSS
作者相关文章
何晓庆
罗进斌
陈强
许丹丹
关键词 大气污染寿命损失年空气质量健康指数广义相加模型    
AbstractObjective To construct air quality health index (AQHI) in Jinhua City, Zhejiang Province based on the exposure-response relationship between air pollutants and years of life lost (YLL), and evaluate the health risk associated with air quality. Methods Air pollutants and meteorological data in Jindong District and Wucheng District of Jinhua City from 2014 to 2021 were collected through Jinhua Environmental Monitoring Center and Jinhua Meteorological Bureau. Non-accidental death data of residents during the same period was collected through Zhejiang Chronic Disease Monitoring Information Management System. The exposure-response relationship between major air pollutants and YLL was analyzed using a generalized additive model (GAM), and major pollutants were screened for calculating AQHI. The exposure-response relationship between AQHI and YLL was analyzed using GAM. Results The results of single-pollutant model analysis showed that the lagged effect of PM2.5 on YLL was the largest at lag of 1 day, and the effect of SO2 on YLL was the largest on the same day. The results of dual-pollutant model analysis showed that the impact of PM2.5 on YLL was statistically significant when other pollutants were included at a lag of 1 day, and the impact of SO2 on YLL was statistically significant when NO2 was included on the same day (all P<0.05). The average daily mass concentration of O3 exceeded the standard by a relatively high rate of 42.27% from 2014 to 2021. Based on the analysis results of single-pollutant and two-pollutant models, excessive pollutant condition and relevant research findings, PM2.5, SO2, NO2 and O3 were selected as the major pollutants for calculating the AQHI. The median AQHI value of 1.40 (interquartile range, 1.13) from 2014 to 2021. According to the AQHI classification standard, 94.55% was the time was at low risk, and 4.93% of the time was at medium risk. With an increase in AQHI by one interquartile range, the YLL among the entire population, males, females, <65-year-old and ≥65-year-old populations would increase 6.21, 3.26, 6.46, 4.24 and 10.57 person-years, respectively. Conclusions The air quality health risk in Jinhua City was low at most of the time from 2014 to 2021. An increase in AQHI was associated with an increased risk of YLL among population.
Key wordsair pollution    years of life lost    air quality health index    generalized additive model
收稿日期: 2024-07-24      修回日期: 2024-10-25      出版日期: 2024-12-01
中图分类号:  R181.3  
基金资助:金华市科学技术研究项目(2021-4-239)
作者简介: 何晓庆,硕士,副主任医师,主要从事环境与职业卫生工作,E-mail:jhcdchxq@163.com
引用本文:   
何晓庆, 罗进斌, 陈强, 许丹丹. 基于大气污染物与寿命损失年的金华市空气质量健康指数构建研究[J]. 预防医学, 2024, 36(12): 1017-1021.
HE Xiaoqing, LUO Jinbin, CHEN Qiang, XU Dandan. Construction of air quality health index in Jinhua City based on air pollutants and years of life lost. Preventive Medicine, 2024, 36(12): 1017-1021.
链接本文:  
http://www.zjyfyxzz.com/CN/10.19485/j.cnki.issn2096-5087.2024.12.002      或      http://www.zjyfyxzz.com/CN/Y2024/V36/I12/1017
[1] NI Y,SONG W,BAI Y,et al.Years of life lost(YLL)due to short-term exposure to ambient air pollution in China:a systematic review and meta-analysis[J].Int J Environ Res Public Health,2021,18(21):1-17.
[2] 曲玥,曾芳婷,陈凤格,等.石家庄市儿童呼吸系统疾病空气质量健康指数的构建[J].环境卫生学杂志,2023,13(1):37-43.
[3] 樊琳,倪洋,曾强,等.基于五类空气质量指数的天津市环境空气质量评价[J].环境与健康杂志,2018,35(9):803-808.
[4] HU J L,YING Q,WANG Y G,et al.Characterizing multi-pollutant air pollution in China:comparison of three air quality indices[J].Environ Int,2015,84:17-25.
[5] QIAO X,JAFFE D,TANG Y,et al.Evaluation of air quality in Chengdu,Sichuan Basin,China:are China's air quality standards sufficient yet? [J/OL].Environ Monit Assess,2015,187(5)[2024-10-25].https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/25877648.DOI:10.1007/s10661-015-4500-z.
[6] STIEB D M,BURNETT R T,SMITH DOIRON M,et al.A new multipollutant,no-threshold air quality health index based on short-term associations observed in daily time-series analyses[J].J Air Waste Manag Assoc,2008,58(3):435-450.
[7] World Health Organization.WHO methods and data sources for global burden of disease estimates,2000-2016[EB/OL].[2024-10-25].https://terrance.who.int/mediacentre/data/ghe/GlobalCOD_method_2000_2016.pdf?ua=1.
[8] 何晓庆,罗进斌,王小红,等.金华市大气污染物短期暴露对居民死亡和寿命损失年的影响[J].预防医学,2024,36(5):383-387.
[9] LI X,XIAO J P,LIN H L,et al.The construction and validity analysis of AQHI based on mortality risk:a case study in Guangzhou,China[J].Environ Pollut,2017,220:487-494.
[10] 倪洋,张继勉,白羽,等.基于大气污染累积健康风险的天津市空气质量健康指数研究[J].环境与职业医学,2022,39(11):1242-1248.
[11] CAO R,WANG Y X,HUANG J,et al.The construction of the air quality health index(AQHI)and a validity comparison based on three different methods[J/OL].Environ Res,2021,197[2024-10-25].https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/33689821.DOI:10.1016/j.envres.2021.110987.
[12] 王文韬,孙庆华,覃健,等.中国5个城市2013—2015年空气质量健康指数模拟研究[J].中华流行病学杂志,2017,38(3):314-319.
[13] 张莉君,许慧慧,朱凤鸣,等.上海市儿童呼吸系统疾病空气质量健康指数的建立[J].环境与职业医学,2022,39(7):730-736.
[14] 中华人民共和国环境保护部,国家质量监督检验检疫总局.环境空气质量标准:GB 3095—2012[M].北京:中国环境科学出版社,2012.
[15] 李朝康,龚科米,吕烨,等.杭州市大气污染对居民死亡的影响研究[J].预防医学,2023,35(1):11-16.
[16] 关新朋,徐洪兵,方嘉堃,等.大气NOX和NO2急性暴露与儿童呼吸系统疾病门诊量的关联研究[J].预防医学,2023,35(3):185-189.
[17] 张丽,张晓飞,石国秀,等.宁波市O3与气象因素短期暴露对死亡人数的影响及交互作用[J].中华疾病预防控制杂志,2023,27(5):522-527.
[18] 韦正峥,郭云,吕梅乐,等.浙江省丽水市空气质量的健康效应分析[J].中国环境科学,2020,40(8):3294-3302.
[19] ANENBERG S C,HOROWITZ L W,TONG D Q,et al.An estimate of the global burden of anthropogenic ozone and fine particulate matter on premature human mortality using atmospheric modeling[J].Environ Health Perspect,2010,118(9):1189-1195.
[20] LEPEULE J,CAINI F,BOTTAGISI S,et al.Maternal exposure to nitrogen dioxide during pregnancy and off spring birth weight:comparison of two exposure models[J].Environ Health Perspect,2010,118(10):1483-1489.
[21] LIU C,CHEN R J,SERA F,et.al.Interactive effects of ambient fine particulate matter and ozone on daily mortality in 372 cities:two stage time series analysis[J/OL].BMJ,2023[2024-10-25].https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/37793695.DOI:10.1136/bmj-2023-075203.
[22] ZENG Q,FAN L,NI Y,et al.Construction of AQHI based on the exposure relationship between air pollution and YLL in Northern China[J/OL].Sci Total Environ,2020[2024-10-25].https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/31923661.DOI:10.1016/j.scitotenv.2019.136264.
[23] 康梦蕾,倪洋,曾强,等.基于老年人群循环系统疾病寿命损失年的天津市空气质量健康指数的初步构建[J].环境与健康杂志,2020,37(8):684-687.
[24] 樊琳. 基于大气污染与寿命损失年暴露反应关系的空气质量健康指数的初步建立[D].天津:天津医科大学,2019.
[1] 陈佩弟, 肖婷婷, 李新秀, 郑帅印, 黄芸. 2016—2023年乌鲁木齐市大气PM2.5污染分析及建立预测模型[J]. 预防医学, 2024, 36(6): 510-513.
[2] 何晓庆, 罗进斌, 王小红, 许丹丹. 金华市大气污染物短期暴露对居民死亡和寿命损失年的影响[J]. 预防医学, 2024, 36(5): 383-387.
[3] 袁震, 沈先标, 季鹏, 严丽丽, 杨程. 宝山区大气污染物与儿科门诊量的关联研究[J]. 预防医学, 2024, 36(2): 143-146.
[4] 张开月, 李小琴, 夏俊鹏, 戴翔宇, 巫晶晶, 蒋萌, 王芳, 陆盛华. 大气PM2.5暴露对居民超额死亡的风险评估[J]. 预防医学, 2024, 36(11): 950-952,957.
[5] 关新朋, 徐洪兵, 方嘉堃, 朱雨桐, 刘凌燕, 赵茜, 宋晓明, 徐保平, 黄薇. 大气NOX和NO2急性暴露与儿童呼吸系统疾病门诊量的关联研究[J]. 预防医学, 2023, 35(3): 185-189,195.
[6] 李朝康, 龚科米, 吕烨, 徐珊珊, 吕娜, 叶春, 朱冰, 刘卫艳, 高兵, 徐虹. 杭州市大气污染对居民死亡的影响研究[J]. 预防医学, 2023, 35(1): 11-16.
[7] 谷少华, 陆蓓蓓, 王永, 金永高, 王爱红. 高温健康风险预警的气象指标研究[J]. 预防医学, 2022, 34(8): 803-808.
[8] 蒙家嘉, 李辉, 王永, 纪威, 冯伟, 张瑞洁, 刘杨, 刘世炜, 韩丽媛. 2009—2018年宁波市居民心血管疾病死亡及早死所致疾病负担趋势分析[J]. 预防医学, 2021, 33(5): 451-456.
[9] 张艳丽, 张培, 徐承中, 吴周志, 徐英, 鲁芳芳. 空气污染与急性心肌梗死的相关性研究[J]. 预防医学, 2021, 33(5): 479-483.
[10] 杨亮, 毛晓锋, 邓静, 陈娜. 2011—2019年长寿区居民食管癌死亡率及早死疾病负担趋势分析[J]. 预防医学, 2021, 33(5): 500-503.
[11] 曹洋, 杨丽梅, 坑斌, 刘羽. 居民每日死亡例数与空气污染物日均浓度的关系[J]. 预防医学, 2021, 33(3): 231-235.
[12] 朱婷婷, 孙利文. 怀柔区大气PM2.5多环芳烃污染及吸入健康风险评估[J]. 预防医学, 2020, 32(12): 1272-1276.
[13] 胡富宇, 郭婷婷, 朱珊珊, 花静, 刘依萍, 张黎明, 杨莹莹. 台州市大气PM2.5对成年男性精液质量的影响[J]. 预防医学, 2019, 31(1): 20-22,27.
[14] 王金娜, 劳家辉, 侯娟, 郭颂, 吴瑜燕, 马晓, 徐荣, 龚震宇. 气象因素对鼠密度的影响研究[J]. 预防医学, 2018, 30(9): 870-873,878.
[15] 潘东霞,谢开婿,陈玲,顾琦俊. 桐乡市主要慢性病早死亡概率及对期望寿命的影响[J]. 预防医学, 2018, 30(6): 586-589.
Viewed
Full text


Abstract

Cited

  Shared   
  Discussed