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预防医学  2024, Vol. 36 Issue (5): 383-387    DOI: 10.19485/j.cnki.issn2096-5087.2024.05.004
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金华市大气污染物短期暴露对居民死亡和寿命损失年的影响
何晓庆1, 罗进斌1, 王小红2, 许丹丹3
1.金华市疾病预防控制中心环境与职业卫生科,浙江 金华 321002;
2.金华市疾病预防控制中心,浙江 金华 321002;
3.浙江省疾病预防控制中心,浙江 杭州 310051
Effects of short-term exposure to air pollutants on death and years of life lost in Jinhua City
HE Xiaoqing1, LUO Jinbin1, WANG Xiaohong2, XU Dandan3
1. Department of Environmental and Occupational Health, Jinhua Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Jinhua, Zhejiang 321002, China;
2. Jinhua Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Jinhua, Zhejiang 321002, China;
3. Zhejiang Provincial Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Hangzhou, Zhejiang 310051, China
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摘要 目的 探讨细颗粒物(PM2.5)、二氧化氮(NO2)、二氧化硫(SO2)和臭氧(O3)短期暴露对居民死亡和寿命损失年(YLL)的影响。方法 通过浙江省金华市环境监测中心和金华市气象局收集2014—2021年金华市金东区、婺城区的大气污染物和气象资料,通过浙江省慢性病监测信息管理系统收集同期居民死亡资料,采用广义相加模型分析大气污染物短期暴露对居民死亡和YLL的影响。结果 单污染物模型结果显示,PM2.5短期暴露对居民死亡和YLL的影响均在累积滞后2 d时最大,效应值分别为1.064%(95%CI:0.450%~1.682%)和2.084(95%CI:1.003~3.165)人年;SO2短期暴露对居民YLL的影响在当日最大,效应值为2.432(95%CI:0.610~4.254)人年;NO2和O3短期暴露对居民死亡和YLL的影响无统计学意义(均P>0.05)。性别和年龄分层结果显示,PM2.5累积滞后2 d时对女性、≥65岁居民死亡和YLL的影响有统计学意义;SO2在当日对女性、≥65岁居民YLL的影响有统计学意义(均P<0.05)。双污染物模型结果显示,在PM2.5、SO2中分别纳入NO2后,对居民死亡和YLL的影响有统计学意义,效应值较单污染物模型升高;在PM2.5中纳入SO2或O3后,对居民死亡和YLL的影响有统计学意义,效应值较单污染物模型降低(均P<0.05)。结论 PM2.5短期暴露可增加居民死亡和YLL风险,SO2短期暴露可增加居民YLL风险,对女性和≥65岁居民的影响更为明显。
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何晓庆
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关键词 大气污染物死亡寿命损失年广义相加模型    
AbstractObjective To explore the effects of short-term exposure to four air pollutants, namely fine particulate matter (PM2.5), nitrogen dioxide (NO2), sulfur dioxide (SO2) and ozone (O3), on death and years of life lost (YLL). Methods Air pollutants and meteorological data in Jindong District and Wucheng District of Jinhua City, Zhejiang Province from 2014 to 2021 were collected through Jinhua Environmental Monitoring Center and Jinhua Meteorological Bureau. Death data of residents during the same period was collected through Zhejiang Province Chronic Disease Monitoring Information Management System. The effects of short-term exposure to four air pollutants on death and YLL were analyzed using a generalized additive model. Results The results of single-pollutant model analysis showed that the lagged effect of short-term exposure to PM2.5 on death and YLL was the largest at cumulative lags of 2 days, with effect size of 1.064% (95%CI: 0.450%-1.682%) and 2.084 (95%CI: 1.003-3.165) person-years, respectively; the effect of short-term exposure to SO2 on YLL was the largest on the same day, with an effect size of 2.432 (95%CI: 0.610-4.254) person-years; short-term exposure to NO2 and O3 had no statistically significant effects on death and YLL (both P>0.05). The results of gender- and age-stratified analysis showed that short-term exposure to PM2.5 had significant lagged effects on death and YLL among females and residents aged 65 years and above at cumulative lags of 2 days; short-term exposure to SO2 had significant effects on YLL among females and residents aged 65 years and above on the same day (both P<0.05). The results of dual-pollutant model analysis showed that after the inclusion of NO2 in PM2.5 and SO2, the effects on death and YLL were statistically significant, with the effect size being higher compared to the single-pollutant model; after the inclusion of SO2 or O3 in PM2.5, the effects on death and YLL were statistically significant, with the effect size being lower compared to the single-pollutant model (all P<0.05). Conclusion Short-term exposure to PM2.5 may increase the risk of death and YLL, and short-term exposure to SO2 may increase the risk of YLL among residents, with more significant impacts on female and residents aged 65 years and above.
Key wordsair pollutant    mortality    years of life lost    generalized additive model
收稿日期: 2024-01-26      修回日期: 2024-04-10      出版日期: 2024-05-10
中图分类号:  R181.3  
基金资助:金华市科学技术研究项目(2021-4-239)
作者简介: 何晓庆,硕士,副主任医师,主要从事环境与职业卫生工作,E-mail:jhcdchxq@163.com
引用本文:   
何晓庆, 罗进斌, 王小红, 许丹丹. 金华市大气污染物短期暴露对居民死亡和寿命损失年的影响[J]. 预防医学, 2024, 36(5): 383-387.
HE Xiaoqing, LUO Jinbin, WANG Xiaohong, XU Dandan. Effects of short-term exposure to air pollutants on death and years of life lost in Jinhua City. Preventive Medicine, 2024, 36(5): 383-387.
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http://www.zjyfyxzz.com/CN/10.19485/j.cnki.issn2096-5087.2024.05.004      或      http://www.zjyfyxzz.com/CN/Y2024/V36/I5/383
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