Please wait a minute...
文章检索
预防医学  2023, Vol. 35 Issue (8): 687-691    DOI: 10.19485/j.cnki.issn2096-5087.2023.08.009
  疾病控制 本期目录 | 过刊浏览 | 高级检索 |
2015—2020年萧山区恶性肿瘤发病趋势分析
李玉荣, 汪芬娟, 王冬飞, 林君英, 蒋园园, 高媛媛, 赵芳芳
杭州市萧山区疾病预防控制中心慢性病防制科,浙江 杭州 311203
Trends in incidence of malignant tumors in Xiaoshan District from 2015 to 2020
LI Yurong, WANG Fenjuan, WANG Dongfei, LIN Junying, JIANG Yuanyuan, GAO Yuanyuan, ZHAO Fangfang
Department of Non-communicable Disease Control and Prevention, Xiaoshan District Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Hangzhou, Zhejiang 311203, China
全文: PDF(758 KB)  
输出: BibTeX | EndNote (RIS)      
摘要 目的 了解2015—2020年杭州市萧山区恶性肿瘤发病趋势,为完善恶性肿瘤防治策略提供依据。方法 通过杭州市慢性病监测管理系统收集2015—2020年萧山区恶性肿瘤发病资料,分析恶性肿瘤粗发病率、中国人口标化发病率(中标率)、世界人口标化发病率(世标率)、0~74岁累积发病率、35~64岁截缩发病率;计算平均年度变化百分比(AAPC)分析恶性肿瘤发病趋势。结果 2015—2020年萧山区恶性肿瘤粗发病率为476.95/10万,中标率为333.30/10万,世标率为257.01/10万,0~74岁累积率为28.30%,35~64岁截缩率为425.79/10万,均呈上升趋势(AAPC=4.36%、3.82%、3.99%、3.79%和5.20%,均P<0.05)。男性恶性肿瘤粗发病率为491.47/10万,中标率为313.31/10万,世标率为251.51/10万,0~74岁累积率为28.78%,35~64岁截缩率为338.82/10万,其中粗发病率和35~64岁截缩率均呈上升趋势(AAPC=3.00%、1.73%,均P<0.05);女性恶性肿瘤粗发病率为462.98/10万,中标率为348.46/10万,世标率为262.13/10万,0~74岁累积率为27.74%,35~64岁截缩率为504.91/10万,均呈上升趋势(AAPC=5.77%、5.72%、5.79%、5.65%和7.48%,均P<0.05)。恶性肿瘤发病率随年龄增长呈上升趋势,其中15~<45岁、45~<65岁人群恶性肿瘤粗发病率均呈上升趋势(AAPC=9.85%、4.88%,均P<0.05)。发病率前五位依次为肺癌、甲状腺癌、结直肠癌、乳腺癌和胃癌,占全部恶性肿瘤发病的59.63%;肺癌、甲状腺癌、结直肠癌和乳腺癌的发病率均呈上升趋势(AAPC=5.90%、13.01%、4.60%和4.47%,均P<0.05)。结论 2015—2020年萧山区恶性肿瘤发病率呈上升趋势,女性发病率上升速度高于男性,且发病呈年轻化趋势,肺癌、甲状腺癌、结直肠癌、乳腺癌和胃癌是威胁萧山区居民健康的主要恶性肿瘤。
服务
把本文推荐给朋友
加入引用管理器
E-mail Alert
RSS
作者相关文章
李玉荣
汪芬娟
王冬飞
林君英
蒋园园
高媛媛
赵芳芳
关键词 恶性肿瘤发病率发病顺位发病趋势    
AbstractObjective To investigate the trends in incidence of malignant tumors in Xiaoshan District, Hangzhou City from 2015 to 2020, so as to provide the evidence for improving the control strategy for malignant tumors. Methods Data on incidence of malignant tumors in Xiaoshan District from 2015 to 2020 were collected through Hangzhou Municipal Chronic Disease Monitoring Management System. The crude incidence, Chinese population-standardized incidence, world population-standardized incidence, cumulative incidence for 0 to 74 years, and truncated age-standardized incidence for 35 to 64 years of malignant tumors were calculated, and the trends in incidence of malignant tumors were analyzed using average annual percent change (AAPC). Results The crude incidence, Chinese population-standardized incidence, world population-standardized incidence, cumulative incidence for 0 to 74 years, and truncated age-standardized incidence for 35 to 64 years of malignant tumors were 476.95/105, 333.30/105, 257.01/105, 28.30% and 425.79/105 in Xiaoshan District from 2015 to 2020, which all appeared a tendency towards a rise (AAPC=4.36%, 3.82%, 3.99%, 3.79% and 5.20%, all P<0.05). The crude incidence, Chinese population-standardized incidence, world population-standardized incidence, cumulative incidence for 0 to 74 years, and truncated age-standardized incidence for 35 to 64 years of malignant tumors were 491.47/105, 313.31/105, 251.51/105, 28.78% and 338.82/105 among men, and both the crude incidence and truncated age-standardized incidence for 35 to 64 years appeared a tendency towards a rise (AAPC=3.00% and 1.73%, both P<0.05), while the crude incidence, Chinese population-standardized incidence, world population-standardized incidence, cumulative incidence for 0 to 74 years, and truncated age-standardized incidence for 35 to 64 years of malignant tumors were 462.98/105, 348.46/105, 262.13/105, 27.74% and 504.91/105 among women, which all appeared a tendency towards a rise (AAPC=5.77%, 5.72%, 5.79%, 5.65% and 7.48%, all P<0.05). The incidence of malignant tumors appeared a tendency towards a rise with age, and the crude incidence of malignant tumors showed a tendency towards a rise among people at ages of 15 to 44 years and 45 to 64 years (AAPC=9.85% and 4.88%, both P<0.05). Lung cancer, thyroid cancer, colorectal cancer, breast cancer and gastric cancer were the five most common cancers, accounting for 59.63% of all malignant tumors, and the incidence of lung cancer, thyroid cancer, colorectal cancer and breast cancer all showed a tendency towards a rise (AAPC=5.90%, 13.01%, 4.60% and 4.47%, all P<0.05). Conclusions The incidence of malignant tumors showed a tendency towards a rise in Xiaoshan District from 2015 to 2020. The rise in the incidence of malignant tumor was higher in females than in males, and malignant tumors tended to develop at a young age. Lung cancer, thyroid cancer, colorectal cancer, breast cancer and gastric cancer are major malignancies that threaten human health in Xiaoshan District.
Key wordsmalignant tumor    incidence    incidence rank    trend in incidence
收稿日期: 2023-05-04      修回日期: 2023-06-30      出版日期: 2023-08-10
中图分类号:  R246.5  
作者简介: 李玉荣,硕士,主管医师,主要从事慢性病预防与控制工作
通信作者: 汪芬娟,E-mail:438409466@qq.com   
引用本文:   
李玉荣, 汪芬娟, 王冬飞, 林君英, 蒋园园, 高媛媛, 赵芳芳. 2015—2020年萧山区恶性肿瘤发病趋势分析[J]. 预防医学, 2023, 35(8): 687-691.
LI Yurong, WANG Fenjuan, WANG Dongfei, LIN Junying, JIANG Yuanyuan, GAO Yuanyuan, ZHAO Fangfang. Trends in incidence of malignant tumors in Xiaoshan District from 2015 to 2020. Preventive Medicine, 2023, 35(8): 687-691.
链接本文:  
https://www.zjyfyxzz.com/CN/10.19485/j.cnki.issn2096-5087.2023.08.009      或      https://www.zjyfyxzz.com/CN/Y2023/V35/I8/687
[1] BRAY F,FERLAY J,SOERJOMATARAM I,et al.Global cancer statistics 2018:GLOBOCAN estimates of incidence and mortality worldwide for 36 cancers in 185 countries[J].CA Cancer J Clin,2018,68(6):394-424.
[2] SUNG H,FERLAY J,SIEGEL R L,et al.Global cancer statistics 2020:GLOBOCAN estimates of incidence and mortality worldwide for 36 cancers in 185 countries[J].CA Cancer J Clin,2021,71(3):209-249.
[3] CAO W,CHEN H D,YU Y W,et al.Changing profiles of cancer burden worldwide and in China:a secondary analysis of the global cancer statistics 2020[J].Chin Med J(Engl),2021,134(7):783-791.
[4] 胡碧波,傅克本,顾永权.2011—2018年余姚市恶性肿瘤发病趋势[J].预防医学,2023,35(1):44-52.
[5] 吴春晓,顾凯,庞怡,等.2016年上海市恶性肿瘤发病和死亡情况与2002—2016年的变化趋势分析[J].中国癌症杂志,2021,31(10):879-891.
[6] 吴凡英,吕武,杜坤,等.2016—2020年中国长寿之乡岑溪市恶性肿瘤发病率趋势研究[J].中国全科医学,2022,25(32):4079-4084.
[7] 王悠清,李辉章,龚巍巍,等.2015年浙江省肿瘤登记地区恶性肿瘤发病与死亡分析[J].中国肿瘤,2019,28(1):12-22.
[8] 夏昌发,陈万青.中国恶性肿瘤负担归因于人口老龄化的比例及趋势分析[J].中华肿瘤杂志,2022,44(1):79-85.
[9] 李秋林,曹骥,容敏华,等.2016年广西肿瘤登记地区恶性肿瘤发病和死亡分析[J].中国癌症防治杂志,2020,12(1):44-51.
[10] 曹春艳,蒋卫平,王军标,等.2012—2019年海盐县居民恶性肿瘤发病趋势分析[J].预防医学,2021,33(11):1157-1160.
[11] 裘凤黔,杜娟,纪云芳,等.2012—2016年黄浦区恶性肿瘤发病和死亡分析[J].预防医学,2021,33(7):697-700.
[12] LI H Z,DU L B,ZHU C,et al.Analysis on the age of onset of malignant tumors in cancer registration areas in Zhejiang Province from 2000 to 2015[J].Chin J Prev Med,2019,53(12):1253-1258.
[13] 林恒娜,顾秀瑛,张思维,等.全球恶性肿瘤发病年龄分析[J].中华肿瘤杂志,2018,40(7):543-549.
[14] KEUM N,GIOVANNUCCI E.Global burden of colorectal cancer:emerging trends,risk factors and prevention strategies[J].Nat Rev Gastroenterol Hepatol,2019,16(12):713-732.
[15] LI S S,MENG L H,CHIOLERO A,et al.Trends in smoking prevalence and attributable mortality in China,1991-2011[J].Prev Med,2016,93:82-87.
[16] HU G L,LIU J,HAO Y C,et al.Association between smoking and the severity of coronary lesions among young and middle-aged female patients with acute coronary syndrome[J].Chin J Cardiol,2020,48(5):378-385.
[1] 韩亚蓉, 韩颖颖, 蔡波, 林玲. 2013—2022年南通市甲状腺癌发病和死亡趋势分析[J]. 预防医学, 2026, 38(1): 20-25.
[2] 周凡, 王小红, 陈梦倩, 张小兰, 徐则林. 2016—2027年金华市结直肠癌发病和死亡趋势分析及预测[J]. 预防医学, 2026, 38(1): 26-30.
[3] 卢文海, 孔校杰, 宋丽霞, 卢春如, 于碧鲲, 谢延. SARIMA、Prophet与BSTS模型预测手足口病发病率的效果比较[J]. 预防医学, 2026, 38(1): 79-84.
[4] 李玉荣, 王冬飞, 高媛媛, 蒋园园, 林君英, 肖段段. 2010—2024年萧山区结直肠癌发病趋势分析[J]. 预防医学, 2025, 37(9): 927-931,936.
[5] 李君, 朱婷婷, 胡文雪. 2005—2023年温州市丙型病毒性肝炎流行特征分析[J]. 预防医学, 2025, 37(9): 932-936.
[6] 胡晓强, 刘艳, 周思凡, 张子喆, 王雨达, 沈建勇. 2014—2023年湖州市流行性感冒流行特征分析[J]. 预防医学, 2025, 37(9): 959-962.
[7] 李克, 庞志峰, 吴晓虹, 王诚, 何瑶, 唐慧玲. 2007—2024年金华市钩端螺旋体病流行特征分析[J]. 预防医学, 2025, 37(8): 818-821.
[8] 冷雪, 傅淑琴, 舒纪为, 谭启龙, 李科峰. 舟山市带状疱疹首诊病例特征分析[J]. 预防医学, 2025, 37(7): 701-704.
[9] 丁哲渊, 杨研, 傅天颖, 鲁琴宝, 王心怡, 吴昊澄, 刘魁, 林君芬, 吴晨. 2024年浙江省法定传染病疫情分析[J]. 预防医学, 2025, 37(5): 433-438,442.
[10] 任露露, 顾嘉昌, 闵艺璇, 张思晨, 乔健健, 肖月, 胡静. 2016—2023年宜兴市脑卒中发病趋势分析[J]. 预防医学, 2025, 37(5): 498-502.
[11] 周沁易, 马涛, 赵跃媛, 王恒学, 吴小清, 丁松宁, 苏晶晶. 2004—2022年南京市法定传染病发病趋势分析[J]. 预防医学, 2025, 37(5): 476-480.
[12] 蒋舒頔, 郭婷, 凌军军, 任婕, 张亮. 初次性行为年龄与妇科恶性肿瘤的孟德尔随机化研究[J]. 预防医学, 2025, 37(5): 516-520.
[13] 张小乔, 张筱碟, 赵振希, 谢鹏留, 代敏. LSTM、SARIMA和SARIMAX模型预测手足口病发病率的效果比较[J]. 预防医学, 2025, 37(3): 280-284,287.
[14] 沈敏, 郁智慧, 朱爱韬. 1992—2021年中国慢性阻塞性肺疾病发病和死亡的年龄-时期-队列分析[J]. 预防医学, 2025, 37(2): 113-117.
[15] 赵琳, 蒋龙艳, 徐斌, 唐咸艳. 南宁市五种主要恶性肿瘤发病率分析[J]. 预防医学, 2025, 37(2): 135-138.
Viewed
Full text


Abstract

Cited

  Shared   
  Discussed