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预防医学  2023, Vol. 35 Issue (8): 687-691    DOI: 10.19485/j.cnki.issn2096-5087.2023.08.009
  疾病控制 本期目录 | 过刊浏览 | 高级检索 |
2015—2020年萧山区恶性肿瘤发病趋势分析
李玉荣, 汪芬娟, 王冬飞, 林君英, 蒋园园, 高媛媛, 赵芳芳
杭州市萧山区疾病预防控制中心慢性病防制科,浙江 杭州 311203
Trends in incidence of malignant tumors in Xiaoshan District from 2015 to 2020
LI Yurong, WANG Fenjuan, WANG Dongfei, LIN Junying, JIANG Yuanyuan, GAO Yuanyuan, ZHAO Fangfang
Department of Non-communicable Disease Control and Prevention, Xiaoshan District Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Hangzhou, Zhejiang 311203, China
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摘要 目的 了解2015—2020年杭州市萧山区恶性肿瘤发病趋势,为完善恶性肿瘤防治策略提供依据。方法 通过杭州市慢性病监测管理系统收集2015—2020年萧山区恶性肿瘤发病资料,分析恶性肿瘤粗发病率、中国人口标化发病率(中标率)、世界人口标化发病率(世标率)、0~74岁累积发病率、35~64岁截缩发病率;计算平均年度变化百分比(AAPC)分析恶性肿瘤发病趋势。结果 2015—2020年萧山区恶性肿瘤粗发病率为476.95/10万,中标率为333.30/10万,世标率为257.01/10万,0~74岁累积率为28.30%,35~64岁截缩率为425.79/10万,均呈上升趋势(AAPC=4.36%、3.82%、3.99%、3.79%和5.20%,均P<0.05)。男性恶性肿瘤粗发病率为491.47/10万,中标率为313.31/10万,世标率为251.51/10万,0~74岁累积率为28.78%,35~64岁截缩率为338.82/10万,其中粗发病率和35~64岁截缩率均呈上升趋势(AAPC=3.00%、1.73%,均P<0.05);女性恶性肿瘤粗发病率为462.98/10万,中标率为348.46/10万,世标率为262.13/10万,0~74岁累积率为27.74%,35~64岁截缩率为504.91/10万,均呈上升趋势(AAPC=5.77%、5.72%、5.79%、5.65%和7.48%,均P<0.05)。恶性肿瘤发病率随年龄增长呈上升趋势,其中15~<45岁、45~<65岁人群恶性肿瘤粗发病率均呈上升趋势(AAPC=9.85%、4.88%,均P<0.05)。发病率前五位依次为肺癌、甲状腺癌、结直肠癌、乳腺癌和胃癌,占全部恶性肿瘤发病的59.63%;肺癌、甲状腺癌、结直肠癌和乳腺癌的发病率均呈上升趋势(AAPC=5.90%、13.01%、4.60%和4.47%,均P<0.05)。结论 2015—2020年萧山区恶性肿瘤发病率呈上升趋势,女性发病率上升速度高于男性,且发病呈年轻化趋势,肺癌、甲状腺癌、结直肠癌、乳腺癌和胃癌是威胁萧山区居民健康的主要恶性肿瘤。
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李玉荣
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关键词 恶性肿瘤发病率发病顺位发病趋势    
AbstractObjective To investigate the trends in incidence of malignant tumors in Xiaoshan District, Hangzhou City from 2015 to 2020, so as to provide the evidence for improving the control strategy for malignant tumors. Methods Data on incidence of malignant tumors in Xiaoshan District from 2015 to 2020 were collected through Hangzhou Municipal Chronic Disease Monitoring Management System. The crude incidence, Chinese population-standardized incidence, world population-standardized incidence, cumulative incidence for 0 to 74 years, and truncated age-standardized incidence for 35 to 64 years of malignant tumors were calculated, and the trends in incidence of malignant tumors were analyzed using average annual percent change (AAPC). Results The crude incidence, Chinese population-standardized incidence, world population-standardized incidence, cumulative incidence for 0 to 74 years, and truncated age-standardized incidence for 35 to 64 years of malignant tumors were 476.95/105, 333.30/105, 257.01/105, 28.30% and 425.79/105 in Xiaoshan District from 2015 to 2020, which all appeared a tendency towards a rise (AAPC=4.36%, 3.82%, 3.99%, 3.79% and 5.20%, all P<0.05). The crude incidence, Chinese population-standardized incidence, world population-standardized incidence, cumulative incidence for 0 to 74 years, and truncated age-standardized incidence for 35 to 64 years of malignant tumors were 491.47/105, 313.31/105, 251.51/105, 28.78% and 338.82/105 among men, and both the crude incidence and truncated age-standardized incidence for 35 to 64 years appeared a tendency towards a rise (AAPC=3.00% and 1.73%, both P<0.05), while the crude incidence, Chinese population-standardized incidence, world population-standardized incidence, cumulative incidence for 0 to 74 years, and truncated age-standardized incidence for 35 to 64 years of malignant tumors were 462.98/105, 348.46/105, 262.13/105, 27.74% and 504.91/105 among women, which all appeared a tendency towards a rise (AAPC=5.77%, 5.72%, 5.79%, 5.65% and 7.48%, all P<0.05). The incidence of malignant tumors appeared a tendency towards a rise with age, and the crude incidence of malignant tumors showed a tendency towards a rise among people at ages of 15 to 44 years and 45 to 64 years (AAPC=9.85% and 4.88%, both P<0.05). Lung cancer, thyroid cancer, colorectal cancer, breast cancer and gastric cancer were the five most common cancers, accounting for 59.63% of all malignant tumors, and the incidence of lung cancer, thyroid cancer, colorectal cancer and breast cancer all showed a tendency towards a rise (AAPC=5.90%, 13.01%, 4.60% and 4.47%, all P<0.05). Conclusions The incidence of malignant tumors showed a tendency towards a rise in Xiaoshan District from 2015 to 2020. The rise in the incidence of malignant tumor was higher in females than in males, and malignant tumors tended to develop at a young age. Lung cancer, thyroid cancer, colorectal cancer, breast cancer and gastric cancer are major malignancies that threaten human health in Xiaoshan District.
Key wordsmalignant tumor    incidence    incidence rank    trend in incidence
收稿日期: 2023-05-04      修回日期: 2023-06-30      出版日期: 2023-08-10
中图分类号:  R246.5  
通信作者: 汪芬娟,E-mail:438409466@qq.com   
作者简介: 李玉荣,硕士,主管医师,主要从事慢性病预防与控制工作
引用本文:   
李玉荣, 汪芬娟, 王冬飞, 林君英, 蒋园园, 高媛媛, 赵芳芳. 2015—2020年萧山区恶性肿瘤发病趋势分析[J]. 预防医学, 2023, 35(8): 687-691.
LI Yurong, WANG Fenjuan, WANG Dongfei, LIN Junying, JIANG Yuanyuan, GAO Yuanyuan, ZHAO Fangfang. Trends in incidence of malignant tumors in Xiaoshan District from 2015 to 2020. Preventive Medicine, 2023, 35(8): 687-691.
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http://www.zjyfyxzz.com/CN/10.19485/j.cnki.issn2096-5087.2023.08.009      或      http://www.zjyfyxzz.com/CN/Y2023/V35/I8/687
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