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预防医学  2025, Vol. 37 Issue (11): 1155-1159    DOI: 10.19485/j.cnki.issn2096-5087.2025.11.015
  疾病控制 本期目录 | 过刊浏览 | 高级检索 |
2006—2024年绍兴市戊型病毒性肝炎流行特征
刘明奇1, 马岩1, 郑莹颖2, 陈海苗1, 李军1, 方益荣1
1.绍兴市疾病预防控制中心,浙江 绍兴 312000;
2.绍兴市上虞区疾病预防控制中心 浙江 绍兴 312300
Epidemiological characteristics of hepatitis E in Shaoxing City from 2006 to 2024
LIU Mingqi1, MA Yan1, ZHENG Yingying2, CHEN Haimiao1, LI Jun1, FANG Yirong1
1. Shaoxing Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Shaoxing, Zhejiang 312000, China;
2. Shangyu District Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Shaoxing, Zhejiang 312300, China
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摘要 目的 了解2006—2024年浙江省绍兴市戊型病毒性肝炎(戊肝)流行特征,为加强戊肝防控工作提供依据。方法 通过中国疾病预防控制系统监测报告管理系统收集2006—2024年绍兴市戊肝发病资料,采用描述性流行病学方法分析戊肝流行特征,采用平均年度变化百分比(AAPC)和年度变化百分比(APC)分析戊肝发病趋势;采用时空扫描分析戊肝发病时空聚集特征。结果 2006—2024年绍兴市累计报告戊肝病例2 408例,年均报告发病率为2.55/10万,总体趋势无统计学意义(AAPC=3.181%,P>0.05),其中2006—2011年呈上升趋势(APC=17.371%,P<0.05),2011—2019年呈下降趋势(APC=-12.497%,P<0.05),2019—2024年呈上升趋势(APC=18.076%,P<0.05)。1—5月为戊肝流行季节,季节指数分别为122.09%、118.60%、145.02%、129.57%和106.15%。诸暨市、新昌县和嵊州市戊肝年均报告发病率居前三位,分别为4.18/10万、2.85/10万和2.74/10万。男性戊肝年均报告发病率为3.52/10万,高于女性的1.56/10万(P<0.05)。40~<70岁戊肝报告病例较多,1 639例占68.06%;其中60~<70岁组戊肝年均报告发病率最高,为4.92/10万。职业以农民为主,1 515例占62.92%。时空扫描分析结果显示,2006—2024年绍兴市存在2个时空聚集区,Ⅰ类聚集区为嵊州市,聚集时间为2011年1月1日—2014年5月1日;Ⅱ类聚集区为新昌县,聚集时间为2012年12月1日—2013年3月31日。结论 2006—2024年绍兴市戊肝报告发病率呈先上升后下降再上升趋势,冬春季高发,男性、40~<70岁和农民为重点防控人群,嵊州市和新昌县为高发地区。
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刘明奇
马岩
郑莹颖
陈海苗
李军
方益荣
关键词 戊型病毒性肝炎发病率流行特征时空扫描    
AbstractObjective To investigate the epidemiological characteristics of hepatitis E in Shaoxing City, Zhejiang Province from 2006 to 2024, so as to provide the evidence for the prevention and control of hepatitis E. Methods Data on hepatitis E incidence in Shaoxing City from 2006 to 2024 were collected through the Surveillance System of China Information System for Disease Control and Prevention. The epidemiological characteristics were analyzed using descriptive epidemiological methods. The trend in hepatitis E incidence was analyzed using the average annual percent change (AAPC) and annual percent change (APC). The spatial-temporal clustering characteristics of hepatitis E incidence were identified using spatial-temporal scanning analysis. Results A total of 2 408 hepatitis E cases were reported in Shaoxing City from 2006 to 2024, with an average annual reported incidence of 2.55/105. The overall trend was not statistically significant (AAPC=3.181%, P>0.05). Specifically, it showed an upward trend from 2006 to 2011 (APC=17.371%, P<0.05), a downward trend from 2011 to 2019 (APC=-12.497%, P<0.05), and an upward trend from 2019 to 2024 (APC=18.076%, P<0.05). The epidemic season of hepatitis E was from January to May, with seasonal indices of 122.09%, 118.60%, 145.02%, 129.57%, and 106.15%, respectively. The top three average annual reported incidences were identified in Zhuji City, Xinchang County, and Shengzhou City, with rates of 4.18/105, 2.85/105, and 2.74/105, respectively. The average annual reported incidence of hepatitis E was higher in males than in females (3.52/105 vs. 1.56/105, P<0.05). A relatively large number of hepatitis E cases were reported among individuals aged 40-<70 years, with 1 639 cases (68.06%). Among them, the group aged 60-<70 years had the highest average annual reported incidence of hepatitis E, at 4.92/105. Farmers constituted the predominant occupational group, accounting for 1 515 cases (62.92%). Spatial-temporal scanning analysis identified two clusters in Shaoxing City from 2006 to 2024. The class Ⅰ cluster was located in Shengzhou City, with aggregation time from January 1, 2011 to May 1, 2014. The class Ⅱ cluster was located in Xinchang County, with aggregation time from December 1, 2012 to March 31, 2013. Conclusions The reported incidence of hepatitis E in Shaoxing City from 2006 to 2024 exhibited a pattern of an initial increase, followed by a decrease, and then a subsequent rise. The disease demonstrated higher prevalence during the winter and spring seasons. Key populations for targeted control and prevention include males, individuals aged 40-<70 years, and farmers. Shengzhou City and Xinchang County were identified as high-risk areas.
Key wordshepatitis E    incidence    epidemiological characteristics    spatio-temporal scanning
收稿日期: 2025-06-18      修回日期: 2025-08-19     
中图分类号:  R512.6  
基金资助:浙江省疾病预防控制科技计划项目(2025JK110)
作者简介: 刘明奇,硕士,主管医师,主要从事疾病控制工作
通信作者: 方益荣,E-mail:fyr2015@126.com   
引用本文:   
刘明奇, 马岩, 郑莹颖, 陈海苗, 李军, 方益荣. 2006—2024年绍兴市戊型病毒性肝炎流行特征[J]. 预防医学, 2025, 37(11): 1155-1159.
LIU Mingqi, MA Yan, ZHENG Yingying, CHEN Haimiao, LI Jun, FANG Yirong. Epidemiological characteristics of hepatitis E in Shaoxing City from 2006 to 2024. Preventive Medicine, 2025, 37(11): 1155-1159.
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http://www.zjyfyxzz.com/CN/10.19485/j.cnki.issn2096-5087.2025.11.015      或      http://www.zjyfyxzz.com/CN/Y2025/V37/I11/1155
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