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预防医学  2025, Vol. 37 Issue (5): 460-464    DOI: 10.19485/j.cnki.issn2096-5087.2025.05.006
  论著 本期目录 | 过刊浏览 | 高级检索 |
2015—2023年温州市老年人跌倒死亡趋势与减寿分析
李慧君, 叶振淼, 樊丽辉, 郑宇航, 谢轶敏, 姜雪霞, 高豪俊, 张默涵, 罗永园
温州市疾病预防控制中心(温州市卫生监督所),浙江 温州 325000
Trends in death and life lost due to falls among the elderly in Wenzhou City from 2015 to 2023
LI Huijun, YE Zhenmiao, FAN Lihui, ZHENG Yuhang, XIE Yimin, JIANG Xuexia, GAO Haojun, ZHANG Mohan, LUO Yongyuan
Wenzhou Center for Disease Control and Prevention (Wenzhou Institute of Public Health Supervision),Wenzhou, Zhejiang 325000, China
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摘要 目的 了解2015—2023年浙江省温州市老年人跌倒死亡趋势和寿命损失情况,为制定老年人群跌倒防制策略提供依据。方法 通过温州市慢性病监测管理信息系统死亡监测平台收集2015—2023年温州市≥60岁老年人跌倒死亡资料;计算粗死亡率,采用2010年第六次全国人口普查数据计算标化死亡率;采用潜在减寿年数(PYLL)、平均减寿年数(AYLL)和潜在减寿率(PYLLR)分析寿命损失情况;采用年度变化百分比(APC)和平均年度变化百分比(AAPC)分析老年人跌倒死亡率、寿命损失的变化趋势。结果 2015—2023年温州市老年人跌倒死亡11 378例,粗死亡率和标化死亡率分别为82.67/10万和65.32/10万,总体无明显变化趋势(AAPC=3.401%、2.995%,均P>0.05);2019—2023年粗死亡率和标化死亡率呈上升趋势(APC=12.592%、11.507%,均P<0.05)。跌倒场所主要在家庭,6 312例占55.48%;跌倒死亡类型主要为在同一平面上滑倒、绊倒和摔倒,8 541例占75.07%。男性跌倒粗死亡率、标化死亡率分别为76.63/10万和60.86/10万,低于女性的88.72/10万和70.33/10万(均P<0.05),变化趋势与全人群一致。老年人跌倒粗死亡率随年龄增加上升(P<0.05);2015—2023年60~<65岁组老年人跌倒粗死亡率呈上升趋势(AAPC=4.860%,P<0.05),其他年龄组未见明显变化趋势(均P>0.05)。老年人跌倒PYLL为5 123人年,AYLL为0.45年/人,PYLLR为0.37‰,2015—2023年PYLL呈上升趋势(AAPC=5.477%,P<0.05);男性PYLL、AYLL和PYLLR分别是女性的3.08倍、3.48倍和2.67倍。结论 2015—2023年温州市老年人跌倒死亡率变化相对平缓,PYLL呈上升趋势,男性、年龄较大的老年人是跌倒防控重点人群;建议加强健康教育和推进家庭适老化改造,预防老年人跌倒。
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李慧君
叶振淼
樊丽辉
郑宇航
谢轶敏
姜雪霞
高豪俊
张默涵
罗永园
关键词 跌倒死亡率潜在减寿年数平均年度变化百分比    
AbstractObjective To investigate the trends in mortality and life loss due to falls among the elderly in Wenzhou City, Zhejiang Province, so as to provide the basis for formulating prevention and control measures for falls among the elderly. Methods The data on fall-related deaths among the elderly aged 60 and above in Wenzhou City were collected through the Wenzhou Chronic Disease Monitoring and Management Information System from 2015 to 2023. The crude mortality was calculated and standardized using the data from the Sixth National Population Census in 2010. The life loss were measured using potential years of life lost (PYLL), average years of life lost (AYLL), and potential years of life lost rate (PYLLR). The trends in mortality and life loss among the elderly were analyzed using the annual percent change (APC) and average annual percent change (AAPC). Results There were 11 378 deaths due to falls among the elderly in Wenzhou City from 2015 to 2023, with a crude mortality of 82.67/105 and a standardized mortality of 65.32/105, which appeared no significant changing trend (AAPC=3.401%、2.995%,both P>0.05). There was a tendency towards a rise from 2019 to 2023 (APC=12.592%、11.507%, both P<0.05). The majority of falls occurred at home, with 6 312 cases accounting for 55.48%. The primary types of fall-related deaths were slips, trips, and falls on the same level, with 8 541 cases representing 75.07%. The crude mortality and standardized mortality of falls in males were 76.63/105 and 60.86/105, which were lower than that in females at 88.72/105 and 70.33/105 (both P<0.05), and the trends were consistent with the overall population. The crude mortality of falls among the elderly increased with age (P<0.05). From 2015 to 2023, the crude mortality of falls among the elderly aged 60 to <65 years showed an upward trend (AAPC=4.860%, P<0.05), while no significant trend was observed in other age groups (all P>0.05). The PYLL was 5 123 person-years, the AYLL was 0.45 years per person, and the PYLLR was 0.37‰. From 2015 to 2023, PYLL showed an upward trend (AAPC=5.477%, P<0.05). The PYLL, AYLL, and PYLLR for males were 3.08 times, 3.48 times, and 2.67 times those of females, respectively. Conclusions From 2015 to 2023, the mortality of falls among the elderly in Wenzhou City had remained relatively stable. However, PYLL showed an upward trend. Males and older seniors were key groups for falls prevention. It is recommended to enhance health education and promote age-friendly home modifications to prevent falls among the elderly.
Key wordsfalls    mortality    potential years of life lost    average annual percent change
收稿日期: 2024-12-02      修回日期: 2025-04-20     
中图分类号:  R195  
基金资助:温州市科技局项目(Y20240881)
作者简介: 李慧君,硕士,医师,主要从事慢性病预防与控制工作,E-mail:lhj54320@163.com
引用本文:   
李慧君, 叶振淼, 樊丽辉, 郑宇航, 谢轶敏, 姜雪霞, 高豪俊, 张默涵, 罗永园. 2015—2023年温州市老年人跌倒死亡趋势与减寿分析[J]. 预防医学, 2025, 37(5): 460-464.
LI Huijun, YE Zhenmiao, FAN Lihui, ZHENG Yuhang, XIE Yimin, JIANG Xuexia, GAO Haojun, ZHANG Mohan, LUO Yongyuan. Trends in death and life lost due to falls among the elderly in Wenzhou City from 2015 to 2023. Preventive Medicine, 2025, 37(5): 460-464.
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