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预防医学  2026, Vol. 38 Issue (5): 508-512    DOI: 10.19485/j.cnki.issn2096-5087.2026.05.017
  疾病控制 本期目录 | 过刊浏览 | 高级检索 |
嘉兴市老年人流行性感冒疫苗保护效果评价
刘杨, 富小飞, 王远航, 李睿
嘉兴市疾病预防控制中心,浙江 嘉兴 314050
Evaluation on protective effect of influenza vaccine among the elderly in Jiaxing City
LIU Yang, FU Xiaofei, WANG Yuanhang, LI Rui
Jiaxing Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Jiaxing, Zhejiang 314050, China
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摘要 目的 评估浙江省嘉兴市≥60岁老年人流行性感冒(流感)疫苗保护效果(VE),为优化流感疫苗接种策略、提高接种率提供依据。方法 采用检测阴性病例对照设计,选择2024年10月—2025年3月在嘉兴市流感监测哨点医院就诊的≥60岁流感样病例为研究对象,通过实时荧光定量反转录聚合酶链反应(qRT-PCR)技术检测流感病毒核酸,核酸检测阳性纳入流感病毒阳性组,阴性纳入流感病毒阴性组。通过问卷调查、病历信息系统和浙江省免疫规划智慧服务信息系统收集人口学信息、疾病史和流感疫苗接种情况等。采用多因素logistic回归模型分析流感病毒阳性的影响因素,评估VE。结果 纳入流感样病例1 145例,其中男性579例,女性566例,男女比为1.02∶1。年龄以60~<70岁为主,445例占38.86%。流感疫苗接种415例,占36.24%。流感病毒阳性393例,占34.32%,均为甲型H1N1亚型流感病毒;流感病毒阴性752例,占65.68%。多因素logistic回归分析结果显示,流感疫苗接种与流感病毒阳性风险降低有关(OR=0.538,95%CI:0.405~0.716),VE为46.16%(95%CI:28.38%~59.52%)。亚组分析结果显示,流感疫苗接种对不同性别、年龄、基础疾病和疫苗接种与发病时间间隔的老年人均具有保护效果,性别、年龄、基础疾病、疫苗接种与发病时间间隔和流感疫苗接种对流感病毒阳性的影响不存在交互作用(P交互>0.05)。结论 流感疫苗对预防嘉兴市老年人甲型H1N1流感病毒感染具有保护效果,建议继续推广老年人流感疫苗接种。
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刘杨
富小飞
王远航
李睿
关键词 流行性感冒流行性感冒疫苗疫苗保护效果老年人    
AbstractObjective To evaluate the vaccine effectiveness (VE) of influenza among the elderly aged ≥60 years in Jiaxing City, Zhejiang Province, so as to provide a basis for optimizing influenza vaccination strategies and improving vaccination rates. Methods A test-negative case-control design was employed. Influenza-like illness cases aged ≥60 years who sought medical care at influenza surveillance sentinel hospitals in Jiaxing City from September 2024 to March 2025 were selected as the study subjects. Influenza virus nucleic acid was detected using real-time fluorescent quantitative reverse transcription polymerase chain reaction (qRT-PCR). Cases with positive nucleic acid tests were included in the influenza virus-positive group, while those with negative tests were included in the influenza virus-negative group. Demographic information, medical history, and influenza vaccination status were collected through questionnaire surveys, medical record information systems, and the Zhejiang Provincial Immunization Program Smart Service Information System. A multivariable logistic regression model was used to analyze the influencing factors for influenza virus positivity and to evaluate VE. Results A total of 1 145 influenza-like illness cases were included, including 579 males and 566 females, with a male-to-female ratio of 1.02∶1. The age group of 60-<70 years was predominant, accounting for 38.86% (445 cases). A total of 415 cases (36.24%) had received influenza vaccination. There were 393 influenza virus-positive cases (34.32%), all of which were influenza A (H1N1) subtype, and 752 influenza virus-negative cases (65.68%). Multivariable logistic regression analysis revealed that influenza vaccination was associated with a significantly reduced risk of influenza virus positivity (OR=0.538, 95%CI: 0.405-0.716), with a VE of 46.16% (95%CI: 28.38%-59.52%). Subgroup analysis results indicate that influenza vaccination significantly protects older adults regardless of gender, age, underlying medical conditions, or the interval between vaccination and the onset of illness. There is no interaction between gender, age, underlying medical conditions, the interval between vaccination and onset of illness, and the influenza vaccination on influenza virus positivity (Pfor interaction>0.05). Conclusions Influenza vaccines provide protective effects against influenza A (H1N1) virus infection among the elderly in Jiaxing. It is recommended to continue promoting influenza vaccination among the elderly.
Key wordsinfluenza    influenza vaccine    vaccine effectiveness    the elderly
收稿日期: 2025-12-15      修回日期: 2026-05-04     
中图分类号:  R511.7  
基金资助:嘉兴市科技计划项目(2024AD30118,2024AD30127)
作者简介: 刘杨,硕士,医师,主要从事传染病防制工作
通信作者: 李睿,E-mail:1642564558@qq.com   
引用本文:   
刘杨, 富小飞, 王远航, 李睿. 嘉兴市老年人流行性感冒疫苗保护效果评价[J]. 预防医学, 2026, 38(5): 508-512.
LIU Yang, FU Xiaofei, WANG Yuanhang, LI Rui. Evaluation on protective effect of influenza vaccine among the elderly in Jiaxing City. Preventive Medicine, 2026, 38(5): 508-512.
链接本文:  
https://www.zjyfyxzz.com/CN/10.19485/j.cnki.issn2096-5087.2026.05.017      或      https://www.zjyfyxzz.com/CN/Y2026/V38/I5/508
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