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预防医学  2025, Vol. 37 Issue (5): 449-454    DOI: 10.19485/j.cnki.issn2096-5087.2025.05.004
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基于组轨迹模型的中老年人群衰弱与认知功能关联研究
彭星1, 李逸晗2, 陈振霆1, 阿卜杜乃比·吾普尔1, 井召航1, 帕尔哈提·那斯尔1, 杨蕾1
1.新疆医科大学公共卫生学院,新疆 乌鲁木齐 830054;
2.新疆大学数学与系统科学学院,新疆 乌鲁木齐 830046
Association between frailty and cognitive function among middle-aged and elderly populations based on group-based trajectory model
PENG Xing1, LI Yihan2, CHEN Zhenting1, Abudunaibi Wupuer1, JING Zhaohang1, Paerhati Nasier1, YANG Lei1
1. School of Public Health, Xinjiang Medical University, Urumqi, Xinjiang 830054, China;
2. School of Mathematics and System Sciences, Xinjiang University, Urumqi, Xinjiang 830046, China
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摘要 目的 应用组轨迹模型分析中老年人群衰弱变化与认知功能的关联,为制定中老年人群认知障碍预防干预策略提供依据。方法 基于中国健康与养老追踪调查项目收集2011—2018年≥45岁人群的人口学信息和生活行为等资料,采用衰弱指数评估衰弱状况,采用中文版简易精神状态检查量表评估认知功能。以2011—2018年衰弱指数建立组轨迹模型,分析衰弱变化轨迹;采用多重线性回归模型分析衰弱与认知功能的关联。结果 收集4 809人资料,年龄为(56.63±7.73)岁;男性2 621人,占54.50%;女性2 188人,占45.50%。2018年调查显示认知功能下降574人,占11.94%。组轨迹模型分析发现4组衰弱变化轨迹,分别为正常稳定组、衰弱恢复组、衰弱前期进展组和衰弱持续组,分别占69.27%、9.32%、16.20%和5.22%;认知功能得分分别为(17.24±4.83)(16.38±5.53)(15.74±5.20)(15.02±5.11)分,差异有统计学意义(P<0.05)。多重线性回归分析结果显示,调整年龄、性别、夜间睡眠时长和吸烟等混杂因素后,相较于正常稳定组,衰弱恢复组(β=-0.581)、衰弱前期进展组(β=-0.583)和衰弱持续组(β=-0.662)认知功能下降风险较高(均P<0.05)。结论 中老年人群衰弱存在4组变化,相较于正常稳定组,衰弱进展、持续和恢复组的认知功能下降更明显。
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彭星
李逸晗
陈振霆
阿卜杜乃比·吾普尔
井召航
帕尔哈提·那斯尔
杨蕾
关键词 衰弱认知功能中老年人组轨迹模型    
AbstractObjective To examine the association between frailty and cognitive function in middle-aged and elderly populations using group-based trajectory model (GBTM), so as to provide insights into the prevention and intervention strategies for cognitive impairment in this population. Methods From 2011 to 2018, data of demographic information and lifestyle behavior for individuals aged ≥45 years were collected from the China Health and Retirement Longitudinal Study. Frailty status was assessed using the frailty index, and cognitive function was evaluated using the Chinese version of the Mini-Mental State Examination. GBTM was applied to establish frailty trajectories based on the frailty index from 2011 to 2018 to analyze the trajectory of frailty changes. The association between frailty and cognitive function was analyzed using multiple linear regression model. Results A total of 4 809 participants were included, with a mean age of (56.63±7.73) years. There were 2 621 males (54.50%) and 2 188 females (45.50%). The 2018 survey identified 574 individuals (11.94%) with cognitive function decline. GBTM identified four distinct frailty trajectories including the normal and stable group (69.27%), recovering frail group (9.32%), progressing pre-frail group (16.20%) and persistently frail group (5.22%). The mean cognitive funtion scores for these groups were (17.24±4.83) (16.38±5.53) (15.74±5.20) (15.02±5.11) points, respectively. The differences in cognitive funtion scores across groups were statistically significant (P<0.05). Multiple linear regression analysis showed, after adjusting for confounding factors such as gender, age, nighttime sleep duration, and smoking, compared with the normal and stable group, the cognitive function decline risk was higher in the frailty recovery group (β=-0.581), the pre-frail progression group (β=-0.583), and the persistently frail group (β=-0.662) compared with the non-frail stable group (all P<0.05). Conclusions There are four groups of changes in frailty among the middle-aged and elderly populations. Compared with the normal and stable group, the groups experiencing progression, persistence, and recovery of frailty exhibit a more pronounced risk of cognitive funtion decline.
Key wordsfrailty    cognitive function    middle-aged and elderly populations    group-based trajectory model
收稿日期: 2024-11-26      修回日期: 2025-03-14     
中图分类号:  R473  
基金资助:新疆医科大学大学生创新训练计划省级项目(S202310760031); 新疆医科大学2022年博士科研启动基金项目(0103010211)
作者简介: 彭星,硕士研究生在读,流行病与卫生统计学专业
通信作者: 杨蕾,E-mail:xjyanglei_616@sina.com   
引用本文:   
彭星, 李逸晗, 陈振霆, 阿卜杜乃比·吾普尔, 井召航, 帕尔哈提·那斯尔, 杨蕾. 基于组轨迹模型的中老年人群衰弱与认知功能关联研究[J]. 预防医学, 2025, 37(5): 449-454.
PENG Xing, LI Yihan, CHEN Zhenting, Abudunaibi Wupuer, JING Zhaohang, Paerhati Nasier, YANG Lei. Association between frailty and cognitive function among middle-aged and elderly populations based on group-based trajectory model. Preventive Medicine, 2025, 37(5): 449-454.
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http://www.zjyfyxzz.com/CN/10.19485/j.cnki.issn2096-5087.2025.05.004      或      http://www.zjyfyxzz.com/CN/Y2025/V37/I5/449
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