Please wait a minute...
文章检索
预防医学  2024, Vol. 36 Issue (10): 873-877    DOI: 10.19485/j.cnki.issn2096-5087.2024.10.011
  疾病控制 本期目录 | 过刊浏览 | 高级检索 |
首次脑卒中患者生存率分析
李玉荣, 王冬飞, 高媛媛, 汪芬娟, 林君英, 蒋园园, 赵芳芳, 肖段段
杭州市萧山区疾病预防控制中心慢性病防制科,浙江 杭州 311203
Analysis of survival rate among patients with first-ever stroke
LI Yurong, WANG Dongfei, GAO Yuanyuan, WANG Fenjuan, LIN Junying, JIANG Yuanyuan, ZHAO Fangfang, XIAO Duanduan
Department of Chronic Disease Control and Prevention, Xiaoshan District Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Hangzhou, Zhejiang 311203, China
全文: PDF(784 KB)  
输出: BibTeX | EndNote (RIS)      
摘要 目的 了解首次脑卒中患者的生存情况及其影响因素,为提高脑卒中患者生存质量和改善预后提供依据。方法 通过杭州市慢性病监测管理系统收集萧山区2017年首次报告的脑卒中新发病例的人口学信息、疾病史、吸烟史和饮酒史等资料;以脑卒中死亡为结局事件,连续随访观察5年。采用Kaplan-Meier法计算生存率,采用多因素Cox比例风险回归模型分析首次脑卒中患者生存时间的影响因素。结果 纳入3 886例首次脑卒中患者,其中脑梗死、脑内出血、蛛网膜下腔出血和脑卒中未特指为出血或梗死(未特指)的病例分别占86.93%、11.45%、1.06%和0.57%。男性2 047例,占52.68%;女性1 839例,占47.32%。发病年龄为(72.01±11.61)岁。截至2022年12月31日随访结束,因脑卒中死亡906例,随访时间MQR)为62.00(35.00)个月。1年生存率为87.35%(95%CI:86.30%~88.41%),3年生存率为82.11%(95%CI:80.88%~83.34%),5年生存率为76.64%(95%CI:75.26%~78.02%)。多因素Cox比例风险回归分析结果显示,发病年龄≥75岁(HR=5.543,95%CI:3.822~8.039)、诊治医院级别为乡镇级(HR=5.934,95%CI:4.027~8.743)、有高血压史(HR=1.566,95%CI:1.317~1.863)、有慢性缺血性心脏病史(HR=1.611,95%CI:1.362~1.906)、有吸烟史(HR=1.455,95%CI:1.190~1.778)、有饮酒史(HR=1.323,95%CI:1.067~1.641)和脑卒中亚型为脑内出血(HR=3.442,95%CI:2.923~4.053)和未特指(HR=6.843,95%CI:4.353~10.756)与首次脑卒中患者较高死亡风险有关。结论 首次脑卒中患者5年生存率为76.64%,受到发病年龄、诊治医院级别、脑卒中亚型、疾病史、吸烟和饮酒的影响。
服务
把本文推荐给朋友
加入引用管理器
E-mail Alert
RSS
作者相关文章
李玉荣
王冬飞
高媛媛
汪芬娟
林君英
蒋园园
赵芳芳
肖段段
关键词 脑卒中生存率生存分析影响因素    
AbstractObjective To understand the survival status and influencing factors of first-ever stroke patients, so as to provide evidence for improving the quality of life and prognosis of stroke patients. Methods Demographic information, medical history, smoking history, and alcohol consumption history of newly diagnosed stroke cases first reported in 2017 in Xiaoshan District were collected through the Hangzhou Chronic Disease Surveillance and Management System. Patients were followed up for 5 years, with stroke death as the outcome event. The survival rate was calculated using the Kaplan-Meier method, and factors affecting survival time of first-ever stroke patients were identified using a multivariable Cox proportional hazard regression model. Results A total of 3 886 patients first-ever stroke patients were included, the cases of cerebral infarction, intracerebral hemorrhage, subarachnoid hemorrhage, and stroke unspecified as to whether it was hemorrhagic or ischemic (unspecified) accounted for 86.93%, 11.45%, 1.06% and 0.57%, respectively. There were 2 047 males (52.68%) and 1 839 females (47.32%), with a mean onset age of (72.01±11.61) years. By the end of the follow-up on December 31, 2022, 906 patients died from stroke, with a median follow-up time of 62.00 (interquartile range, 35.00) months. The 1-year survival rate was 87.35% (95%CI: 86.30%-88.41%), the 3-year survival rate was 82.11% (95%CI: 80.88%-83.34%), and the 5-year survival rate was 76.64% (95%CI: 75.26%-78.02%), respectively. Multivariable Cox proportional hazard regression analysis showed that onset age of ≥75 years (HR=5.543, 95%CI: 3.822-8.039), being treated at township-level hospitals (HR=5.934, 95%CI: 4.027-8.743), history of hypertension (HR=1.566, 95%CI: 1.317-1.863), history of chronic ischemic heart disease (HR=1.611, 95%CI: 1.362-1.906), smoking history (HR=1.455, 95%CI: 1.190-1.778), alcohol consumption history (HR=1.323, 95%CI: 1.067-1.641), stroke subtype of intracerebral hemorrhage (HR=3.442, 95%CI: 2.923-4.053) and unspecified (HR=6.843, 95%CI: 4.353-10.756) were associated with higher mortality risk among first-ever stroke patients. Conclusion The 5-year survival rate of first-ever stroke patients was 76.64%, which was influenced by age of onset, hospital level for diagnosis and treatment, stroke subtype, medical history, smoking and alcohol consumption.
Key wordsstroke    survival rate    survival analysis    influencing factor
收稿日期: 2024-04-28      修回日期: 2024-09-06      出版日期: 2024-10-10
中图分类号:  R743.3  
作者简介: 李玉荣,硕士,主管医师,主要从事慢性病预防与控制工作
通信作者: 林君英,E-mail:343780840@qq.com   
引用本文:   
李玉荣, 王冬飞, 高媛媛, 汪芬娟, 林君英, 蒋园园, 赵芳芳, 肖段段. 首次脑卒中患者生存率分析[J]. 预防医学, 2024, 36(10): 873-877.
LI Yurong, WANG Dongfei, GAO Yuanyuan, WANG Fenjuan, LIN Junying, JIANG Yuanyuan, ZHAO Fangfang, XIAO Duanduan. Analysis of survival rate among patients with first-ever stroke. Preventive Medicine, 2024, 36(10): 873-877.
链接本文:  
http://www.zjyfyxzz.com/CN/10.19485/j.cnki.issn2096-5087.2024.10.011      或      http://www.zjyfyxzz.com/CN/Y2024/V36/I10/873
[1] LI X D,LI M M.A novel nomogram to predict mortality in patients with stroke:a survival analysis based on the MIMIC-III clinical database[J].BMC Med Inform Decis Mak,2022,22(1):1-12.
[2] MOSISA W,GEZEHAGN Y,KUNE G,et al.Survival status and predictors of mortality among adult stroke patients admitted to Jimma University Medical Center,South west Ethiopia:a retrospective cohort study[J].Vasc Health Risk Manag,2023,19:527-541.
[3] 马林,巢宝华,曹雷,等.2007—2017年中国脑卒中流行趋势及特征分析[J/CD].中华脑血管病杂志(电子版),2020,14(5):253-258.
[4] 张艳,徐珏,付文,等.2006—2020年杭州市脑血管病死亡趋势分析[J].预防医学,2022,34(9):881-886,892.
[5] ZHANG S R,PHAN T G,SOBEY C G.Targeting the immune system for ischemic stroke[J].Trends Pharmacol Sci,2021,42(2):96-105.
[6] HEUSCHMANN P U,GRIEVE A P,TOSCHKE A M,et al.Ethnic group disparities in 10-year trends in stroke incidence and vascular risk factors:the South London Stroke Register(SLSR)[J].Stroke,2008,39(8):2204-2210.
[7] 武海滨,龚巍巍,潘劲,等.首次脑卒中患者生存率和死亡影响因素的研究[J].中华流行病学杂志,2014,35(7):812-816.
[8] RADISAUSKAS R,TAMOSIUNAS A,KRANCIUKAITE-BUTYLKINIENE D,et al.Long-term survival after stroke in Lithuania:data from Kaunas population-based stroke registry[J].PLoS One,2019,14(7):1-17.
[9] 龚霁. 首次脑卒中患者生存率和死亡影响因素的研究[J].中国现代医生,2015,53(18):71-73.
[10] ROMAIN G,MARIET A S,JOOSTE V,et al.Long-term relative survival after stroke:the Dijon Stroke Registry[J].Neuroepidemiology,2020,54(6):498-505.
[11] AL ALAWI A M,AL BUSAIDI I,AL SHIBLI E,et al.Health outcomes after acute ischemic stroke:retrospective and survival analysis from Oman[J].Ann Saudi Med,2022,42(4):269-275.
[12] SARFO F S,AKASSI J,OFORI E,et al.Long-term determinants of death after stroke in Ghana:analysis by stroke types&subtypes[J/OL].J Stroke Cerebrovasc Dis,2022,31(9)[2024-09-06].https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/35926405/PMC9742008/doi: 10.1016/j.jstrokecerebrovasdis.2022.106639.
[13] 王春丽,林君英,王冬飞,等.首发脑卒中患者5年生存率及死亡影响因素分析[J].心脑血管病防治,2020,20(3):242-244.
[14] WANKOWICZ P,GOLAB-JANOWSKA M,NOWACKI P.Risk factors for death by acute ischaemic stroke in patients from West-Pomerania,Poland[J].Neurol Neurochir Pol,2020,54(2):150-155.
[15] WANG W Z,JIANG B,SUN H X,et al.Prevalence,incidence,and mortality of stroke in China:results from a nationwide population-based survey of 480 ?687 adults[J].Circulation,2017,135(8):759-771.
[1] 刘宇丹, 张彩云, 郭明媚, 郑宇娟, 贾铭, 杨佳乐, 侯嘉宁, 赵华. 慢性病共病患者服药依从性影响因素的Meta分析[J]. 预防医学, 2024, 36(9): 790-795,800.
[2] 张文丽, 张丽, 胡在方, 周国伟, 胡洁. 北京市某区制造业工人抑郁、焦虑症状调查[J]. 预防医学, 2024, 36(9): 796-800.
[3] 见明智, 鲁迪, 陈洁, 蒋婷婷. 绍兴市居民吸烟调查[J]. 预防医学, 2024, 36(9): 817-820,824.
[4] 王婷婷, 汪剡灵, 杨玉婷, 王静夷, 陈潇潇. 台州市中学生心理健康素养调查[J]. 预防医学, 2024, 36(9): 821-824.
[5] 陈高尚, 朱凯强, 朱军礼, 李克. 金华市学生结核病病例发现延迟的影响因素分析[J]. 预防医学, 2024, 36(8): 698-701.
[6] 夏林, 何建敏, 宁惊鸣, 李毅琳. 东西湖区学龄前儿童家长伤害急救技能调查[J]. 预防医学, 2024, 36(8): 718-722.
[7] 姜沁伶, 闫润, 夏华, 李茂, 叶运莉. 泸州市幼儿教师幼儿性教育教学情况调查[J]. 预防医学, 2024, 36(8): 723-726.
[8] 王思嘉, 包凯芳, 龚清海, 仲昭浩, 王永, 朱银潮, 应焱燕, 方挺, 陈洁平. 宁波市老年人跌倒的影响因素分析[J]. 预防医学, 2024, 36(8): 654-657,662.
[9] 尉芝苗, 韩明明, 钱雯, 魏咏兰, 王亮. 成都市居民血脂异常的影响因素研究[J]. 预防医学, 2024, 36(7): 598-602.
[10] 程远芬, 彭佳, 李丹, 杨娟华, 杨婷, 曹煜. 社区医务人员职业延迟满足情况调查[J]. 预防医学, 2024, 36(7): 603-606.
[11] 梁薇, 任梦婷, 张文科, 杨琳, 王红雨. 滁州市中小学生脊柱侧弯筛查结果[J]. 预防医学, 2024, 36(7): 607-610.
[12] 龚海英, 邢瑞婷, 刘晓芬, 苗雨阳, 郑可昕, 赵耀. 房山区居民糖尿病患病率、知晓率、治疗率和控制率分析[J]. 预防医学, 2024, 36(7): 616-621.
[13] 王凝雨, 张忠敏, 陈婷. 青少年抑郁症状的影响因素研究[J]. 预防医学, 2024, 36(7): 562-566,570.
[14] 曹明鑫, 杨濮瑞, 郭爱敏. 慢性阻塞性肺疾病吸烟患者尼古丁依赖的影响因素分析[J]. 预防医学, 2024, 36(7): 575-579.
[15] 贾晓锋, 王慧群, 石敏, 汤婕, 任静霞. HIV/AIDS病例HIV相关神经认知障碍的影响因素分析[J]. 预防医学, 2024, 36(6): 461-464.
Viewed
Full text


Abstract

Cited

  Shared   
  Discussed