A study on the effect of external temperature and relative humidity on hand,foot and mouth disease by DLNM model
WU Yi-feng1, ZHAO Feng-ming1 , HE Tian-feng2, CAI Yi-biao1 , XU Guo-zhang2
1.The Center for Disease Control and Prevention of Jiangbei District, Ningbo, Zhejiang, 315020, China; 2.The Center for Disease Control and Prevention of Ningbo City, Ningbo, Zhejiang, 315020, China
Abstract：Objective To analyze the effect of external temperature and relative humidity on the incidence of hand, foot and mouth disease (HFMD).Methods Information of HFMD patients and weather data during 2011—2014 was collected. The relative risk due to daily mean temperature and daily relative humidity were analyzed using distributed lag non-linear models.Results Temperature of 18 ℃ to 25 ℃, or lower than 5 ℃ and relative humidity lower than 68% could increase the number of HFMD patients. While relative humidity of 85%-100% could decrease the number of HFMD patients in lag 1-2 days.Conclusion In certain range and lag days, external temperature and relative humidity could affect the incidence of HFMD.
吴一峰, 赵凤敏, 贺天锋, 蔡一飙, 许国章. 分布滞后非线性模型评估室外温度及湿度对手足口病发病的影响[J]. 预防医学, 2016, 28(2): 121-124.
WU Yi-feng, ZHAO Feng-ming, HE Tian-feng, CAI Yi-biao , XU Guo-zhang. A study on the effect of external temperature and relative humidity on hand,foot and mouth disease by DLNM model. Preventive Medicine, 2016, 28(2): 121-124.
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