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预防医学  2025, Vol. 37 Issue (1): 77-81    DOI: 10.19485/j.cnki.issn2096-5087.2025.01.017
  疾病控制 本期目录 | 过刊浏览 | 高级检索 |
2015—2023年苏州市学生肺结核时空分布特征
崔彩岩, 蒋骏, 王斐娴, 傅颖, 张晓龙
苏州市疾病预防控制中心,江苏 苏州 215100
Spatio-temporal distribution of pulmonary tuberculosis among students in Suzhou City from 2015 to 2023
CUI Caiyan, JIANG Jun, WANG Feixian, FU Ying, ZHANG Xiaolong
Suzhou Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Suzhou, Jiangsu 215100, China
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摘要 目的 分析2015—2023年江苏省苏州市学生肺结核时空分布特征,为学校肺结核防控工作提供参考。方法 通过中国疾病预防控制信息系统和苏州市学校肺结核调查处置情况报表收集2015—2023年苏州市学生肺结核病例资料,采用季节指数(SI)法分析学生肺结核的季节特征,采用空间自相关和回顾性时空重排扫描分析学生肺结核时空聚集特征。结果 2015—2023年苏州市报告学生肺结核病例1 374例,每月均有病例报告,其中4—5月、7月、9—11月SI分别为100.69%、124.38%、108.98%、135.04%、106.61%和106.61%,表示学生肺结核流行。空间自相关分析结果显示,2019—2020年苏州市学生肺结核具有空间相关性(Moran's I值为0.053和0.089,均P<0.05);2015—2023年每年均存在高-高聚集区,主要集中在横塘街道和狮山街道。回顾性时空重排扫描分析结果显示,Ⅰ类聚集区1个,为横塘街道,聚集时间为2017年;Ⅱ类聚集区有6个,覆盖25个乡镇(街道)。结论 2015—2023年苏州市学生肺结核病例主要集中在夏秋季,横塘街道和狮山街道为高发地区。
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崔彩岩
蒋骏
王斐娴
傅颖
张晓龙
关键词 肺结核学生季节指数时空分布    
AbstractObjective To analyze the spatio-temporal distribution of pulmonary tuberculosis (PTB) among students in Suzhou City, Jiangsu Province from 2015 to 2023, so as to provide the evidence for the prevention and control of PTB in schools. Methods Data of PTB cases among students in Suzhou City from 2015 to 2023 were collected from Chinese Disease Prevention and Control Information System and Suzhou Report of Investigation and Disposal of Tuberculosis in Schools. The seasonal incidence of PTB among students was analyzed using seasonal index (SI). The spatio-temporal clustering characteristics of PTB among students were analyzed using spatial autocorrelation and retrospective spatio-temporal permutation scanning. Results Totally 1 374 PTB cases among students were reported in Suzhou City from 2015 to 2023. PTB cases were reported in each month, and the SIs were 100.69%, 124.38%, 108.98%, 135.04%, 106.61% and 106.61% in April, May, July, September, October and November, respectively, indicating the prevalence of PTB among students. Spatial autocorrelation analysis showed there was a positive spatial correlation of PTB among students in 2019 and 2020 (Moran's I=0.053 and 0.089, both P<0.05). From 2015 to 2023, there were high-high clustering sites mainly in Hengtang Street and Shishan Street. Retrospective spatio-temporal permutation scanning showed a primary cluster in Hengtang Street, with aggregation time in 2017, and 6 secondary clusters covering 25 towns (streets). Conclusion From 2015 to 2023, the PTB cases among students in Suzhou City were mainly concentrated in summer and autumn, and were predominantly clustered in Hengtang Street and Shishan Street.
Key wordspulmonary tuberculosis    student    seasonal index    spatio-temporal distribution
收稿日期: 2024-08-14      修回日期: 2024-12-09      出版日期: 2025-01-10
中图分类号:  R521  
  R181.3  
基金资助:苏州市重大疾病、传染病预防和控制关键技术项目(GWZX202001); 苏州市卫生青年骨干人才“全国导师制”培训项目(QNGG2022031)
作者简介: 崔彩岩,硕士,副主任医师,主要从事结核病防制工作
通信作者: 张晓龙,E-mail:250092706@qq.com   
引用本文:   
崔彩岩, 蒋骏, 王斐娴, 傅颖, 张晓龙. 2015—2023年苏州市学生肺结核时空分布特征[J]. 预防医学, 2025, 37(1): 77-81.
CUI Caiyan, JIANG Jun, WANG Feixian, FU Ying, ZHANG Xiaolong. Spatio-temporal distribution of pulmonary tuberculosis among students in Suzhou City from 2015 to 2023. Preventive Medicine, 2025, 37(1): 77-81.
链接本文:  
https://www.zjyfyxzz.com/CN/10.19485/j.cnki.issn2096-5087.2025.01.017      或      https://www.zjyfyxzz.com/CN/Y2025/V37/I1/77
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