Risk assessment of public health emergencies in Zhejiang Province, March 2021
WANG Xinyi*, WU Chen, MIAO Ziping, SUN Wanwan, YU Zhao, ZHOU Yang, ZHU Yao, WU Haocheng, FENG Yan, CHEN Yijuan, LIN Junfen
*Department of Public Health Surveillance and Advisory, Zhejiang Provincial Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Hangzhou, Zhejiang 310051, China
Abstract：Objective To assess the risk of public health emergencies in Zhejiang Province, March 2021. Methods An expert counsel was conducted to assess the risk of coronavirus disease 2019 ( COVID-19 ) , enteritis due to norovirus, chicken pox and influenza by professionals in Zhejiang CDC, based on the information from infectious disease and public health emergency surveillance in Zhejiang Province, domestic health administrative departments, World Health Organization, and European CDC. Results In March 2021, the risk of imported COVID-19 epidemic will be high in Zhejiang Province, and the possibility of local spread could not be ruled out. The possibility of a large-scale outbreak of enteritis due to norovirus and a small-scale outbreak of chickenpox in schools and kindergartens could not be ruled out after the new term begins. An increased risk of influenza epidemic is predicted in collective units such as schools and kindergartens, yet the risk of a large-scale one will be low. Conclusion High attention should be paid to COVID-19 and enteritis due to norovirus, and general attention should be paid to chicken pox and influenza outbreak.
[1] 许树强,王宇.突发事件公共卫生风险评估理论与实践[M].北京:人民卫生出版社,2016:25-26. [2] 林君芬. 突发事件公共卫生风险评估理论与实践[M].杭州:浙江大学出版社,2016:20. [3] 涂文校,丁凡,谢荣恒,等.2013年8月全国突发公共卫生事件及需关注的传染病风险评估[J].疾病监测,2013,28(8):612-616. [4] World Health Organization.Weekly epidemiological update-23 February 2021.[EB/OL].(2021-02-23)[2021-03-03].https://www.who.int/publications/m/item/weekly-epidemiological-update---23-february-2021. [5] World Health Organization.WHO Coronavirus Disease(COVID-19)Dashboard[EB/OL].(2021-02-27)[2021-03-03].https://covid19.who.int. [6] 中华人民共和国国家卫生健康委员会.疫情通报[EB/OL].(2021-02-26)[2021-03-03].http://www.nhc.gov.cn/xcs/yqtb/list_gzbd_2.shtml. [7] 人民资讯.全球新冠疫苗接种量达1.94亿剂次,我国累计接种4 052万剂次[EB/OL].(2021-02-20)[2021-03-03].https://baijiahao.baidu.com/s?id=1692211000241406730&wfr=spider&for=pc. [8] 中国新闻网.浙江:101.8万人已完成重点人群新冠病毒疫苗紧急接种[EB/OL].(2021-01-29)[2021-03-03].https://www.chinanews.com/sh/2021/01-29/9399939.shtml. [9] European Center for Disease Control and Prevention.Risk assessment:SARS-CoV-2-increased circulation of variants of concern and vaccine rollout in the EU/EEA,14th update[EB/OL].(2021-02-15)[2021-03-03].https://www.ecdc.europa.eu/en/publications-data/covid-19-risk-assessment-variants-vaccine-fourteenth-update-february-2021. [10] 浙江省教育厅.浙江省新冠肺炎疫情防控工作新闻发布会(第六十六场)今举行[EB/OL].(2021-02-25)[2021-03-03].http://jyt.zj.gov.cn/art/2021/2/25/art_1543973_58916767.html.
